financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
India's Q4 GDP growth slows to 4.1% as economists point that spending pattern is still below pre-pandemic level
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
India's Q4 GDP growth slows to 4.1% as economists point that spending pattern is still below pre-pandemic level
May 31, 2022 8:44 AM

The Indian economy has grown by 8.7 percent in the 2021-22 fiscal year against a 6.6 percent contraction in the previous fiscal, official data revealed on Tuesday. A poll conducted by CNBC-TV18 got the full-year expectation bang on at 8.7 percent.

Share Market Live

NSE

The FY22 gross value added (GVA) has come in at 8.1 percent versus a CNBC-TV18 poll reading of 8 percent.

The government data released shows that India grew at 4.1 percent in the fourth quarter of FY22 which has also met the CNBC-TV18 poll bang on. A year ago, the reading had come in at 2.5 percent.

Sajjid Chinoy, Chief India Economist at JPMorgan believes that India's spending patterns are still below COVID-19 pandemic levels.

"It's not clear how much savings there is at the bottom of the pyramid. You can see some of these headwinds in the RBIs Consumer Confidence Survey - this is admittedly an urban survey - but when households are asked where will your spending patterns be, two years after the pandemic, they're still much below where we were pre pandemic. So, there is going to be a squeeze everywhere, I guess the key is going to be job creation," he said.

Agriculture growth has come in at 3 percent versus 3.3 percent a year ago and in-line with the CNBC-TV18 poll.

A snapshot of the Q$FY22 GDP reading

Fiscal deficit reading

The fiscal deficit for the 2021-22 financial year is 6.7 percent of the GDP, less than the Finance Ministry's revised Budget estimate projection of 6.9 percent.

The revenue gap for FY22 was recorded at Rs 10.33 lakh crore, close to the Ministry's Budget estimate of Rs10.89 lakh crore.

The March fiscal deficit dropped to Rs 2.7 lakh crore, compared to Rs 4.13 lakh in the year-ago period.

Sudipto Mundle, Distinguished Fellow at National Council of Applied Economic Research, is not too worried about the fiscal deficit target.

"A little bit of slippage on the fiscal deficit would not be a problem but they should really try and hold on to the capital expenditure because the revival of the investment cycle is just at its early stages. And it's quite important to maintain that subject always to the fact that priority has to be now inflation control," he explained.

(Edited by : Abhishek Jha)

First Published:May 31, 2022 5:44 PM IST

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Inflation Rises In January, Housing Costs Up, Adding To Consumers' 2025 Concerns
Inflation Rises In January, Housing Costs Up, Adding To Consumers' 2025 Concerns
Feb 12, 2025
The January Consumer Price Index came in higher than expected with inflation hot to start 2025. What Happened: CPI rose 3% on a year-over-year basis in January, missing expectations for 2.9%. CPI was up 0.5% on an adjusted basis from December to January, up from 0.4% in the previous report. Rising inflation figures have now pushed back expectations for a...
US consumer inflation increases at fastest pace in nearly 1-1/2 years in January
US consumer inflation increases at fastest pace in nearly 1-1/2 years in January
Feb 12, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. consumer prices increased by the most in nearly 1-1/2 years in January, with Americans facing higher costs for a range of goods and services, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's message that it was in no rush to resume cutting interest rates amid growing uncertainty over the economy. The hotter-than-expected inflation reported by the Labor Department on Wednesday was...
Powell To Congress: Fed 'Not There Yet' On Inflation, CPI 'Above Every Forecast,' US Debt Path 'Unsustainable'
Powell To Congress: Fed 'Not There Yet' On Inflation, CPI 'Above Every Forecast,' US Debt Path 'Unsustainable'
Feb 12, 2025
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterated a firm stance on the central bank's monetary policy path on Wednesday, indicating that while inflation is moderating, it hasn't cooled enough to justify rate cuts. Testifying before the House Financial Services Committee after addressing the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday, Powell hinted that further progress is needed to reach the Fed's 2% inflation...
Fed's Powell says central bank still has access to data it needs
Fed's Powell says central bank still has access to data it needs
Feb 12, 2025
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said Wednesday the central bank has not been cut off from any data it needs to do its work.  Speaking before a House panel as the Trump administration has been stripping government websites from various data sets, Powell he wasn't aware of losing anything the Fed needs, while saying he'd speak...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved