financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Instant View: January PCE inflation no surprise, cools year on year
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Instant View: January PCE inflation no surprise, cools year on year
Feb 28, 2025 6:25 AM

(Reuters) - The U.S. Commerce Department's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index increased 0.3% in January after advancing by an unrevised 0.3% in December, data showed on Friday. Economists had expected the PCE price index to climb 0.3%. In the year through January, prices rose 2.5% after increasing 2.6% in December.

Stripping out the volatile food and energy components, the PCE price index gained 0.3% last month after an unrevised 0.2% rise in December. Year on year, core inflation increased 2.6% after climbing 2.9% in December.

The Fed tracks the PCE price measures for its 2% inflation target. Financial markets expect the Fed will resume cutting interest rates in June.

MARKET REACTION:

STOCKS: S&P 500 emini futures added to modest gains and were up 0.27%, pointing to a firm open on Wall Street

BONDS: U.S. Treasury 10-year yield was little moved at 4.256% and the two-year yield ticked up to 4.053%

FOREX: The dollar index was off 0.08%, little moved. The euro was up 0.1%

COMMENTS:

BRIAN JACOBSEN, CHIEF ECONOMIST, ANNEX WEALTH MANAGEMENT, MENOMONEE FALLS, WISCONSIN

"Income growth was helped by the usual Social Security cost of living adjustment and dividend growth. Spending was hit hard by the nasty weather in January. Inflation was in-line with expectations. The problem isn't about what inflation was so much as what people fear it might be. There's often a divide between how people say they feel and how they actually spend their money. The looming threat of tariffs could lead people to accelerate purchases to try to front-run possible price hikes. The February data that comes out in March could show a big rebound in spending. The data will give lots of head-fakes for a while."

PETER CARDILLO, CHIEF MARKET ECONOMIST, SPARTAN CAPITAL SECURITIES, NEW YORK

"The inflation numbers still remain elevated, although they came in within expectations, but on a year-to-year basis there was a slight relief from the previous reading, but the report indicates that inflation remains sticky."

"That means the pause will continue. And that means that the Fed may have a dilemma on its hands because the recent macro numbers are cooling and it shows signs of the economy cooling."

"Now the personal income that was stronger than we expected by nearly 6/10 of a percent, so income is still strong and that means that you know such the consumer still has buying power most consumers, anyway."

"Spending came in lower than we were looking for, and some of this may have been weather-related, but most of it I would attribute to a cooling economy, which presents a dilemma for the Fed in the sense that you still have inflation and you have an economy that is moving lower. If you add them together, that equals stagflation."

(Compiled by the Global Finance & Markets Breaking News team)

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US consumer spending resilient; inflation continues to abate
US consumer spending resilient; inflation continues to abate
Sep 28, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. consumer spending increased slightly less than expected in August, but that did little to change expectations that solid economic growth persisted in the third quarter, while the annual rise in prices was the smallest in just over 3-1/2 years. Strong growth expectations this quarter were underscored by other data from the Commerce Department on Friday showing the...
Daily Roundup of Key US Economic Data for Sept. 27
Daily Roundup of Key US Economic Data for Sept. 27
Sep 28, 2024
02:37 PM EDT, 09/27/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Personal income was up 0.2% in August, below expectations, with a 0.5% gain in wage and salaries and increases in rental income and transfer payments offset by declines in proprietors' income and return on assets. Personal consumption expenditures rose by 0.2% in August after a 0.5% increase in July, with an increase in...
Kansas City Fed Services Index Indicates Contraction in September
Kansas City Fed Services Index Indicates Contraction in September
Sep 28, 2024
11:08 AM EDT, 09/27/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The Kansas City Federal Reserve's monthly composite services index fell to a reading of minus 2 in September after rebounding to 5 in August, suggesting a return to contraction. A reading above zero indicates growth. The index is in line with the Philadelphia Fed and Richmond Fed indexes but in contrast with the...
Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge Comes In Below Expectations For August, Easing Concerns About Rising Prices
Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge Comes In Below Expectations For August, Easing Concerns About Rising Prices
Sep 27, 2024
The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation in August came in below expectations, showing a decline from July’s inflation rate. According to government data released Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index increased by 2.2% in August compared to the same period last year. The reading was below the 2.3% analysts were expecting and a drop from July’s 2.5%....
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved