financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Instant view: US consumer prices tick up as anticipated in June
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Instant view: US consumer prices tick up as anticipated in June
Jul 15, 2025 6:55 AM

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. consumer prices picked up in June, likely marking the start of a long-anticipated tariff-induced increase in inflation that has kept the Federal Reserve cautious about resuming its interest rate cuts. 

The Consumer Price Index increased 0.3% last month after edging up 0.1% in May, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Tuesday. That was the largest gain since January. In the 12 months through June, the CPI advanced 2.7% after rising 2.4% in May. 

Economists polled Reuters had forecast the CPI would climb 0.3% and increase 2.6% on a year-over-year basis.

MARKET REACTION:

STOCKS: U.S. stock futures extended gains following the CPI data.

BONDS: U.S. Treasury yields pared declines, 10-year yield flat.

FOREX: U.S. dollar gains on the yen

COMMENTS:

BRIAN JACOBSEN, CHIEF ECONOMIST, ANNEX WEALTH MANAGEMENT, MENOMONEE FALLS, WISCONSIN:

"Tariffs are in the data, but it's not as devastating as many feared. Appliances and household equipment and furnishings prices jumped nearly 2%, but those only make up around 1% of the consumer price index. Services make up the bulk of the consumption basket and there is scant sign of accelerating inflation there. Rent rose 0.2%, lodging away from home fell 2.9%. It's not that tariffs don't matter, it's just that they don't matter to inflation as much or as mechanically as many feared."

PETER CARDILLO, CHIEF MARKET ECONOMIST, SPARTAN CAPITAL SECURITIES, NEW YORK

"It's basically good news because core, on a monthly basis, up 0.2% is in line. The yearly number is a little bit higher than expected. What we're seeing in the headline numbers is that some of the tariff inflation is probably creeping in." 

"So it's a little bit hotter than expected, but it's not all bad news. there is a slight bit evidence of tariff inflation kicking in."

"This data bails out the Fed and it puts them on hold in July. They will have to look at the July and August numbers to make a decision in in September."

CHRIS ZACCARELLI, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, NORTHLIGHT ASSET MANAGEMENT, CHARLOTTE:

"Traders were keeping a close eye on this morning's CPI report and the Fed was probably looking even more closely at it as the internal debate continues into whether or not they should be cutting interest rates right now."

"Fortunately, the report this morning was mostly in line with expectations and the core (ex-food and energy) numbers told a story of inflation that was in check (e.g. month-over-month lower than expected and year-over-year inline with +2.9% consensus)."

"If it's true that inflation is staying in check, then the Fed can go ahead and cut interest rates - potentially as early as September - but if subsequent reports show a different story, then the Fed is going to have to stay on hold even longer."

(Compiled by the Global Finance & Markets Breaking News team)

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US Dollar Dominance, Trump's Trade War, And The Threat Of Recession: This Week In Economy
US Dollar Dominance, Trump's Trade War, And The Threat Of Recession: This Week In Economy
May 25, 2025
The past week has been a rollercoaster ride for the markets, with significant shifts and potential economic shocks looming on the horizon. From the unique advantage of the US in navigating economic shifts due to its dollar-denominated debt, to the escalating tariff war initiated by President Donald Trump, the economic landscape is rife with uncertainty. Here’s a quick recap of...
U.S. tariffs will cause demand shock to Singapore economy: MAS
U.S. tariffs will cause demand shock to Singapore economy: MAS
May 25, 2025
SINGAPORE (Reuters) -U.S. tariffs will have multiplier effects that will generate a broader negative income and demand shock to the Singapore economy, the Monetary Authority of Singapore said in its macroeconomic review released on Monday. As well as the direct impact of a 10% baseline tariff on Singapore's exports to the U.S., its second-largest export market, there will also be...
Amid Trump tariffs, China's trade and economy tsar steps into spotlight
Amid Trump tariffs, China's trade and economy tsar steps into spotlight
May 25, 2025
BEIJING/WASHINGTON (Reuters) -When the leaders of some of the world's largest companies flocked to Beijing for a business forum last month, their main purpose was a coveted meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping. But many were left impressed by Vice Premier He Lifeng, according to a U.S. business person briefed on the encounters.   A longtime confidant of the Chinese leader,...
16 Million Jobs At Risk In China As US Tariffs Hammer Manufacturing And Retail Sectors, Goldman Sachs Warns
16 Million Jobs At Risk In China As US Tariffs Hammer Manufacturing And Retail Sectors, Goldman Sachs Warns
May 25, 2025
Analysts from Goldman Sachs have warned that the U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports could put up to 16 million jobs in China at risk, particularly in the manufacturing sector. What Happened: The bank stated that persistently high U.S.-China tariffs and a significant drop in Chinese exports could put pressure on labor markets. The jobs under threat are primarily involved in the production of exports to...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved