financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Morgan Stanley drops call for December Fed rate cut after strong jobs data
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Morgan Stanley drops call for December Fed rate cut after strong jobs data
Nov 20, 2025 1:03 PM

(Reuters) -Morgan Stanley ( MS ) on Thursday scrapped its forecast that the U.S. Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by a quarter-point at its December meeting after a firm September jobs report showed signs of a resilient economy.

Non-farm payrolls increased by 119,000 jobs after a downwardly revised 4,000 drop in August, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 50,000 jobs would be added after a previously reported 22,000 gain in August.

However, the unemployment rate increased to a four-year high of 4.4% in September.

"The sharp and broad rebound in payrolls suggests the summertime slowdown might have been exaggerated," said strategists at Morgan Stanley ( MS ).

The strength in payrolls suggests stabilization, even as the unemployment rate has inched higher, they added.

The jobs data was initially due on October 3, but was delayed by the 43-day shutdown of the U.S. government.

Morgan Stanley ( MS ) now expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates in January, April and June 2026, bringing the policy rate down to 3% to 3.25%.

Traders continued to bet that the Fed will skip an interest rate cut in December, though there was a small pullback in those bets after the release of the jobs data.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Congress returns for final act before curtain rises on new Trump era
Congress returns for final act before curtain rises on new Trump era
Dec 2, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Democratic-led U.S. Senate and Republican House of Representatives return this week for a showdown over government spending, disaster relief and defense policy before President-elect Donald Trump ushers in a new era of single-party rule next month. The main challenge for lawmakers over the next three weeks is to avert a pre-Christmas partial government shutdown by striking...
US manufacturing improves in November as orders rebound, input price gains slow
US manufacturing improves in November as orders rebound, input price gains slow
Dec 2, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. manufacturing activity improved in November, with orders growing for the first time in eight months and factories facing significantly lower prices for inputs. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said on Monday its manufacturing PMI increased to 48.4 last month from 46.5 in October, which was the lowest level since July 2023. A PMI reading below...
US Dollar Rises Early Monday Ahead of Factory Data; Eyes on Powell, November Employment Data
US Dollar Rises Early Monday Ahead of Factory Data; Eyes on Powell, November Employment Data
Dec 2, 2024
07:55 AM EST, 12/02/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar rose against its major trading partners early Monday after a long holiday weekend for many, starting the week with S&P Global's manufacturing reading for November at 9:45 am ET. The Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing reading for November and construction spending data for October are both due for release at...
Fed's Powell may have made US monetary policy boring again
Fed's Powell may have made US monetary policy boring again
Dec 2, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - For much of the past 17 years the Federal Reserve has been the central player in U.S. economic policy, throwing multi-trillion-dollar safety nets under the financial system, offering nearly a decade of ultra-cheap money, jumping redlines during the COVID-19 pandemic, and delving more into areas like equity and climate change. But that expansive role has now shrunk...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved