financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
NY Fed says April supply chain pressures highest since July 2022
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
NY Fed says April supply chain pressures highest since July 2022
May 6, 2026 8:06 AM

May 6 (Reuters) - Supply chain pressures in April hit their highest level since July 2022, as the Middle East war heavily impacted firms' ability to move goods around the world freely, data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York released on Wednesday showed.

The Global Supply Chain Pressures index moved up sharply to 1.82 in April, from March's 0.68. The New York Fed did not give any explanation for the factors driving up the index. The index stood at 1.86 in July 2022, while the rate of change seen between March and April this year was the largest monthly change since March 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic took hold on the global economy.

The rise in the index's April reading was not surprising given the massive disruptions emanating from the conflict kicked off by President Donald Trump's attack on Iran. That conflict has brought the flow of trade through the Strait of Hormuz to a virtual standstill and has notably driven up energy prices around the world.

Thus far, there has been no resolution to the conflict that allows trade to flow.

On Monday, New York Fed President John Williams said "notable" supply chain pressures have begun to boil and recent data showed the current situation "echoes the severe shortages and supply disruptions that the world economy experienced in 2021 as it emerged from the pandemic."

Then, supply chain disruptions coupled with the government response to the pandemic ultimately led to the highest inflation seen in decades, and even now, with the health crisis well in the rearview mirror, inflation has failed to return to the Fed's 2% target.

Inflation data is already showing rising price pressures fueled by Trump's import tax surge and higher energy costs driven by the war. Many economists are warning of even greater inflation pressures if disruptions tied to the war are not quickly ended.

That's put the Fed in a bind. Officials have been backing away from expectations earlier in the year of a rate cut this year and are increasingly moving to expect steady rates for the foreseeable future, or even the possibility of a rate hike, the longer high inflation pressures persist.

Underlying inflation measured by the personal consumption expenditures index is likely to be just under 3% in the fourth quarter, said economists at Evercore ISI. "Roughly 50 basis points of that comes from tariffs, oil and supply chain disruptions, plus another 20 basis points from AI cost spillovers," they said.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Fed's Bowman says penciled in three rate cuts for year - Fox Business Network
Fed's Bowman says penciled in three rate cuts for year - Fox Business Network
Mar 20, 2026
NEW YORK, March 20 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman said Friday she sees a series of interest rate cuts happening this year amid concerns about labor market softness. I'm still concerned about...the job market, Bowman said in an interview on the Fox Business Network. I've written three cuts in for before the end of 2026...
Powell's decision on Fed board seat could shape Warsh's leadership
Powell's decision on Fed board seat could shape Warsh's leadership
Mar 20, 2026
WASHINGTON, March 20 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming decision on whether to keep his seat on the U.S. central bank's Board of Governors after his leadership term ends is now a key factor in how the tenure of his would-be successor Kevin Warsh evolves, and whether President Donald Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent can pursue any...
US equity fund outflows surge as investors dial down rate cut expectations
US equity fund outflows surge as investors dial down rate cut expectations
Mar 20, 2026
March 20 (Reuters) - U.S. equity funds witnessed the largest weekly net sales in nearly 2-1/2 months in the week to March 18 as expectations of higher oil prices, a hotter-than-expected inflation reading and the Federal Reserve's cautious stance dampened hopes for rate cuts this year. Investors shed U.S. equity funds of a net $24.78 billion in their largest weekly...
Locked out BP workers picket outside Indiana refinery amid labor contract dispute
Locked out BP workers picket outside Indiana refinery amid labor contract dispute
Mar 19, 2026
NEW YORK, March 19 (Reuters) - Workers at BP's Whiting, Indiana, refinery began picketing on Thursday after the British oil major barred more than 800 union members from entering the facility, following months of stalled contract negotiations. The labor dispute at Whiting, the Midwest's largest refinery, comes at a time of elevated gasoline and diesel prices as the Middle East...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved