financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
NY Fed's Perli says market liquidity levels remain abundant
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
NY Fed's Perli says market liquidity levels remain abundant
Mar 5, 2025 3:43 PM

NEW YORK (Reuters) - A Federal Reserve Bank of New York official who manages the implementation of monetary policy indicated Wednesday the central bank has room to further shrink its balance sheet, while noting government financial management issues will create challenges for the process over the short run.

Market indicators "are telling us that reserve conditions are currently abundant, as they have been for quite some time," said Roberto Perli, who manages the Fed's System Open Market Account, its portfolio of bonds, cash and other assets, which currently stand at $6.8 trillion. He spoke before a gathering of the Money Marketeers of New York University.

Perli's comments suggest that all else being equal, there's no imminent need to end the contraction of Fed holdings known as quantitative tightening, or QT. But with that said, there are some imminent challenges the Fed must navigate.

After more than doubling the size of its holdings due to efforts to bolster the economy during the COVID-19 pandemic, since 2022 the Fed has been allowing Treasury and mortgage bonds it owns to expire and not be replaced, which has allowed the central bank to trim just over $2 trillion from its holdings.

The Fed is trying to remove just enough liquidity from financial markets to allow for normal money market volatility and to preserve its strong control over the federal funds rate, its chief tool to achieve its monetary policy goals. The challenge for the Fed is that it is unsure where the stopping point for the drawdown rests.

Further complicating matters is unsettled government financial needs and a debt ceiling that limits borrowing. The Treasury's effort to manage that situation is likely to lead to unsettled money market conditions, and as a result, Fed officials are contemplating slowing or temporarily pausing QT until more clarity arrives.

"The longer balance sheet runoff continues while the debt ceiling situation persists, the higher the risk that, upon the resolution of the debt ceiling, reserves could rapidly decline to levels that could result in considerable volatility in money markets," Perli said, while not tipping his hand as to what he expects to happen with QT.

Speaking on Tuesday, New York Fed President John Williams said "our strategy hasn't changed" and the endgame for QT remains in place. Slowing or pausing QT, if either happens, allows the Fed to "make sure" it doesn't go too far with the drawdown and take out too much liquidity from financial markets, he said.

In his remarks, Perli also said he expects that the Fed's overnight reverse repo facility can further shrink, while adding it's possible the central bank will add morning Standing Repo Facility operations at the turn of the next quarter, as it did at year's end. Perli also said repo market conditions, where banks and others borrow and lend bonds and cash, continue to normalize.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US small business optimism falls to lowest in 9 months, NFIB says
US small business optimism falls to lowest in 9 months, NFIB says
Mar 12, 2024
NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. small business sentiment fell in February to the lowest level since May due to continued concerns around inflation, according to a report published on Tuesday. The monthly National Federation of Independent Business sentiment index fell to 89.4 in February from 89.9 in January. The reading marks the 26th-straight-month where the index remained below its 50-year...
Should you buy a house during a recession?
Should you buy a house during a recession?
Mar 11, 2024
Back in 2022, as inflation grew and gross domestic product (GDP) declined, many feared that the country was headed toward a recession. The Federal Reserve raised interest rates dramatically -- primarily to combat inflation, which has in fact come down significantly. But Fed rate hikes affected other segments of the economy as well, including the housing market. Interest rates are...
Biden's Budget Aims To Slash US Deficit By $3 Trillion Next Decade Through Higher Taxes On Wealthy, Big Corporations
Biden's Budget Aims To Slash US Deficit By $3 Trillion Next Decade Through Higher Taxes On Wealthy, Big Corporations
Mar 11, 2024
The U.S. President’s Budget, released on Monday, sets an ambitious target to significantly curb the vast federal deficit, proposing a cumulative reduction of about $3 trillion compared to projections by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). Central to achieving this reduction are higher taxes on major corporations and the wealthiest individuals, reallocating these funds to make health care, child care and...
Rising Rents Complicates Fed's Disinflation Goal, Offers Tailwind To Residential REIT Stocks
Rising Rents Complicates Fed's Disinflation Goal, Offers Tailwind To Residential REIT Stocks
Mar 11, 2024
The recent uptick in rental prices presents a mixed bag for investors, buoying the outlook for residential real estate stocks while simultaneously stirring inflationary concerns that could complicate efforts to achieve the Federal Reserve’s 2% inflation target. What Happened: The median U.S. asking rent saw a 2.2% increase year over year in February, reaching $1,981, marking the most significant gain...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved