financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Potential impact of Trump policies raised inflation concerns at Fed, minutes show
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Potential impact of Trump policies raised inflation concerns at Fed, minutes show
Feb 19, 2025 11:23 AM

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Donald Trump's initial policy proposals stoked concern at the Federal Reserve about higher inflation, with firms telling the U.S. central bank they generally expected to raise prices to pass through the cost of import tariffs, policymakers said at a meeting held about a week after Trump's January 20 inauguration.

Participants at the U.S. central bank's January 28-29 meeting "generally pointed to the upside risks to the inflation outlook," rather than risks to job market, according to the minutes from the meeting, which were released on Wednesday. "In particular, participants cited the possible effects of potential changes in trade and immigration policy, the potential for geopolitical developments to disrupt supply chains, or stronger-than-expected household spending."

While still having faith that price pressures will continue to ease, "other factors were cited as having the potential to hinder the disinflation process," the minutes said, including the fact that "business contacts in a number of (Fed) districts had indicated that firms would attempt to pass on to consumers higher input costs arising from potential tariffs."

Participants also noted that some measures of inflation expectations, a key concern for the Fed, "had increased recently."

Policymakers at last month's meeting agreed they should hold interest rates steady until it was clear that inflation, largely stalled since the middle of 2024, would dependably fall to the central bank's 2% target.

Fed staff had already changed their outlook at the December 17-18 meeting to show expected slower growth and higher inflation based on "placeholder assumptions" about Trump's likely actions when he began his second term in the White House. The president started providing details in his first days in office, including proposed 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, and a lockdown of the U.S.-Mexico border.

The Fed kept its benchmark interest rate in the current 4.25%-4.50% range at its meeting last month, and officials since then have said they are in no rush to cut rates again until they are more certain inflation will decline to the 2% target from current levels around half a percentage point above that level.

Understanding the impact of Trump's policies has become a central part of that debate.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Black swan hedge fund says Fed rate cuts will signal market crash
Black swan hedge fund says Fed rate cuts will signal market crash
Apr 22, 2024
NEW YORK (Reuters) - While U.S. financial markets debate the timing of interest rate cuts, one tail-risk hedge fund is warning that investors should make the most of recent economic optimism while it lasts, as a shift to lower rates will signal a dramatic market crash. This is a case of be careful what you wish for, said Mark Spitznagel,...
Daily Roundup of Key US Economic Data for April 22
Daily Roundup of Key US Economic Data for April 22
Apr 22, 2024
11:20 AM EDT, 04/22/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The Chicago Federal Reserve's National Activity index rose to 0.15 in March from 0.09 in February. The three-month moving average increased to minus 0.19 from minus 0.28. ...
March Chicago Fed National Activity Index Rises Unexpectedly
March Chicago Fed National Activity Index Rises Unexpectedly
Apr 22, 2024
08:38 AM EDT, 04/22/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The Chicago Federal Reserve Bank's monthly National Activity Index rose to a reading of 0.15 in March from an upwardly revised 0.09 in February, compared with expectations for a decrease to 0.07 in a survey of analysts compiled by Bloomberg as of 8:00 am ET. The three-month moving average increased to minus 0.19...
Fed hawks and doves: US central bankers see 'no urgency' to cut
Fed hawks and doves: US central bankers see 'no urgency' to cut
Apr 22, 2024
(Reuters) - The labels dove and hawk have long been used by central bank watchers to describe the monetary policy leanings of policymakers, with a dove more focused on risks to the labor market and a hawk more focused on the threat of inflation. The topsy-turvy economic environment of the COVID-19 pandemic sidelined those differences, turning Federal Reserve officials at first...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved