financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Rise in US inflation expectations means Fed has to stay on guard, Schmid says
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Rise in US inflation expectations means Fed has to stay on guard, Schmid says
Feb 27, 2025 6:38 AM

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Recent surveys showing a rise in consumer inflation expectations mean the U.S. central bank needs to keep its focus on ensuring price pressures are fully contained, Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid said on Thursday, highlighting a growing and potentially troubling issue for policymakers.

"The last two months have seen a sharp upward movement in some measures of expected inflation," Schmid said in remarks prepared for delivery at a federal agriculture conference. "Certainly, survey measures of inflation expectations are imperfect and subject to noise, but with inflation just recently at a 40-year high, now is not the time to let down our guard."

Beyond expectations, which the Fed monitors closely for signs of a shift in public psychology that can drive prices higher, Schmid, a voting member of the central bank's policy-setting committee this year, said inflation data itself has been largely stuck above the Fed's 2% target.

Yet at the same time, he said there are signs that elevated uncertainty about the economy's direction may lead to weaker growth, posing a difficult choice between bolstering the economy with weaker monetary policy or ensuring inflation returns to target and expectations remain contained.

"I intend to keep my eye focused on inflation," Schmid said. "I am not willing to take any chances when it comes to maintaining the Fed's credibility on inflation."

New inflation data is due to be released on Friday that is expected to show the increase in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index eased in January.

Fed policymakers are expected to hold interest rates steady at their meeting next month as they await more clarity on the path of inflation and the impact of Trump administration policies, including on tariffs and immigration.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
New York Manufacturing Activity Unexpectedly Swings Positive in February
New York Manufacturing Activity Unexpectedly Swings Positive in February
Feb 18, 2025
02:23 PM EST, 02/18/2025 (MT Newswires) -- New York manufacturing activity rebounded more than expected into growth territory this month as orders jumped, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said Tuesday. The Empire State Manufacturing Survey's general business conditions index climbed to 5.7 in February from minus 12.6 in January. The consensus was for a month-to-month improvement to minus...
Federal Reserve Watch for Feb. 18: Interest Rates Should Remain Restrictive Until More Inflation Progress is Seen, Daly Says
Federal Reserve Watch for Feb. 18: Interest Rates Should Remain Restrictive Until More Inflation Progress is Seen, Daly Says
Feb 18, 2025
02:42 PM EST, 02/18/2025 (MT Newswires) -- San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly (nonvoter) said that monetary policy should not be eased further until there is additional progress on reducing inflation. Recent comments of note: (Feb. 17) Fed Governor Michelle Bowman (voter) said that she would like to see more progress on inflation before considering further rate reduction, citing greater...
US consumers rush to buy as Trump tariffs fuel stockpiling, report finds
US consumers rush to buy as Trump tariffs fuel stockpiling, report finds
Feb 18, 2025
(Reuters) - One in five Americans have said they are purchasing more items than usual primarily due to concerns over President Donald Trump's tariffs, a CreditCards.com report showed on Tuesday, reflecting heightened consumer anxiety over potential price hikes and economic uncertainty. Tariffs tend to be inflationary because they raise the cost of imported goods, prompting businesses to either absorb the...
January Home Price Growth Quickens at Fastest Pace Since November 2023, Redfin Says
January Home Price Growth Quickens at Fastest Pace Since November 2023, Redfin Says
Feb 18, 2025
03:56 PM EST, 02/18/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Sequential home price growth sped up at the fastest pace since November 2023, reflecting an increase in demand at the end of 2024 that has since cooled, Redfin (RDFN) said on Tuesday. Home prices were up 0.6% month to month in January, outpacing 0.5% growth experienced in each of the three months prior,...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved