financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Traders see Sept start to Fed easing, with 25 bps rate cut
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Traders see Sept start to Fed easing, with 25 bps rate cut
Jul 31, 2024 11:49 AM

(Reuters) - Traders on Wednesday kept bets the Federal Reserve will start dialing back on restrictive policy in September, starting with a 25 basis-point interest-rate cut at that month's meeting and delivering two more like-sized rate cuts in each of November and December, after the Fed acknowledged "some further progress" towards its 2% inflation goal.

Before the Fed's statement, released at the end of a meeting at which officials decided to hold the policy rate in the 5.25%-5.5% range, interest-rate futures contracts were pricing in an 89% chance of a 25-basis point reduction in September, with the balance of bets on a bigger 50-basis point cut. Rate futures prices now reflect a 95% chance the first rate cut will be 25 basis points.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Fed's Musalem says it's risky to bet that AI will ease inflation
Fed's Musalem says it's risky to bet that AI will ease inflation
May 28, 2026
May 28 (Reuters) - St. Louis Federal Reserve President Alberto Musalem on Thursday offered a skeptical view of the expectation that artificial intelligence will reduce inflation by fueling a surge in productivity, arguing it would be a mistake for the U.S. central bank to count on that possibility by easing monetary policy. With the real policy rate sitting below the...
US first-quarter GDP growth revised lower to 1.6% pace
US first-quarter GDP growth revised lower to 1.6% pace
May 28, 2026
WASHINGTON, May 28 (Reuters) - U.S. economic growth was not a strong as initially thought in the first quarter, and momentum is set to slow this quarter, with the war with Iran stoking inflation and squeezing households finances. Gross domestic product increased at a 1.6% annualized rate last quarter, the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis said in its second...
Fed's Favorite Inflation Gauge Hits 3.8%, Highest Since May 2023 (UPDATED)
Fed's Favorite Inflation Gauge Hits 3.8%, Highest Since May 2023 (UPDATED)
May 28, 2026
Editor’s note: This article was updated to add more detail and context. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge rose further in April as the Strait of Hormuz energy shock continued to reverberate through the broader consumer basket, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Thursday. The headline Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index rose 0.4% on the month, falling short of...
Inflation rises but isn't hotter than expected while GDP slips
Inflation rises but isn't hotter than expected while GDP slips
May 28, 2026
NEW YORK, May 28 (Reuters) - Estimated U.S. economic growth for the first quarter was revised lower on Thursday and a closely watched measure of price pressures came in largely in line with expectations. U.S. markets opened slightly lower. Gross domestic product increased at a 1.6% annualized rate last quarter, the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis said in its...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved