* Unadjusted deficit in July was highest monthly gap since
March 2021
* Deficit of $1.8 trillion for first 10 months of fiscal
2026 exceeds entire deficit of prior fiscal year
* Customs receipts were negative for third month in a row
By David Lawder
Aug 12 (Reuters) - The U.S. federal budget deficit for July
jumped to $432 billion, a record for the month, as higher
outlays and more negative tariff revenues also brought the 2026
fiscal-year-to-date budget gap to $1.799 trillion, topping the
full fiscal 2025 deficit with two months left in the fiscal
year, the U.S. Treasury said on Wednesday.
Last month's budget gap, which was partly inflated by calendar
shifts in benefit payments, was $141 billion, or 48%, higher
than in July 2025 and was the largest monthly deficit since
March 2021, when it hit $660 billion due to COVID-19 relief
program spending.
There have been only two other higher monthly deficits: $864
billion in June 2020 and $738 billion in April 2020, as the
pandemic-driven economic shutdown shattered tax receipts.
A Treasury official said unadjusted outlays for July were also a
record for that month at $766 billion, up $137 billion, or 22%,
from a year ago. But the month's outlays were inflated by $99
billion due to the payment in July of many August 2026 benefits
because the current month started on a weekend.
Accounting for these and other calendar shifts brought the
adjusted July deficit to $333 billion, up $50 billion, or 18%,
from the prior year, the Treasury said.
Unadjusted July receipts were down $4 billion, or 1%, to $334
billion. That figure included an outflow of $8.55 billion in net
customs receipts after tariff refunds totaling $33.38 billion
for the month, marking the third straight month of tariff
outflows.
The refund total, driven by the U.S. Supreme Court's decision
to strike down the broad emergency tariffs imposed by President
Donald Trump last year, was down somewhat from the $49.2 billion
in refunds issued in June.
The U.S. Customs and Border Protection agency said in a court
filing last week that it had processed about $100 billion in
refunds through the end of July. It initially said that about
$166 billion was collected from the now-illegal duties.
But the Trump administration continues to rebuild its tariffs
under other legal avenues, last month imposing duties of 10% or
12.5% on 60 major trading partners covering more than 99% of
U.S. imports over lax enforcement of forced labor curbs. More
tariff orders are expected in the coming weeks.
The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office now estimates that
full-year customs duties collections will be about $250 billion
lower than its initial projections in February, diminishing what
had been seen as an increasingly important revenue source.
FISCAL 2025 DEFICIT EXCEEDED
Tariff revenue last year helped drive a slight reduction in the
2025 fiscal-year deficit to $1.775 trillion. But the deficit for
the first 10 months of the 2026 fiscal year has already exceeded
that of the entire 2025 fiscal year, with an unadjusted gap
totaling $1.799 trillion. The current fiscal year ends on
September 30.
The year-to-date deficit was up $170 billion, or 10%, from the
$1.629 trillion reported for the year-ago period. But including
calendar shifts, the Treasury said the adjusted fiscal
year-to-date deficit would have been $1.700 trillion, up $79
billion, or 5%, from the year-ago period.