financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
US Commerce Secretary wants to remove government spending from GDP
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US Commerce Secretary wants to remove government spending from GDP
Mar 2, 2025 8:05 PM

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said on Sunday he would strip out government spending from the gross domestic product (GDP) report, but gave no indication how soon this change might happen, while dismissing fears of a possible recession.

"You know that governments historically have messed with GDP," Lutnick said during an interview on Fox News Channel's "Sunday Morning Futures" program.

"They count government spending as part of GDP. So I'm going to separate those two and make it transparent."

Lutnick was asked whether he was concerned that the Trump administration's policies, including tariffs on imports and efforts to shrink the government through deep spending cuts and mass layoffs would push the economy into recession.

"No, no, no," said Lutnick.

Business and consumer sentiment have deteriorated in recent months, erasing gains notched following President Donald Trump's election victory in November. Data on consumer spending and the goods trade deficit have raised the risk of the economy contracting in the first quarter, fanning fears of a recession.

Federal government spending accounts for about 6.5% of GDP. It contributed 0.25 percentage point to the economy's 2.3% annualized growth rate in the fourth quarter, mostly from defense spending.

"If the government buys a tank, that's GDP, but paying 1,000 people to think about buying a tank is not GDP," said Lutnick, calling that "wasted money" as he explained the rationale for removing government spending from GDP.

Tens of thousands of federal workers have been fired by tech billionaire Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE, - an entity created by Trump to shrink and cut what the White House has called government waste.

ECONOMISTS ARE WARY

Economists cautioned against changes to the current national accounts structure as it would make GDP very volatile and difficult to get a clear view of the economy's health, creating more uncertainty.

"I don't think the stock market, the financial markets would like that," said Sung Won Sohn, Finance and Economics professor at Loyola Marymount University.

It would also be impossible to compare the U.S. economy's performance against its global peers.

Looking at the private sector alone would not give the full picture on growth, Sohn said.

"Economic growth over time would become a lot more volatile. The reason is, when the economy slows or, when we are in a recession, for example, the government spends a lot of money," he said.

Removing government spending from GDP would distort the figure as government productivity is assumed to be zero whatever the production is in the computation of GDP.

"It's imperative that we keep the current system because, we need to make comparisons, and it's important to know how well we are doing compared to a year ago, five years ago, 10 years ago, and we can learn from our mistakes," Sohn said.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Mexico and US agree to economic dialogue, Mexican official says
Mexico and US agree to economic dialogue, Mexican official says
Feb 5, 2025
MEXICO CITY (Reuters) -Mexican and U.S. officials agreed to ongoing and open dialogue on economic issues like strengthening regional supply chains and the traceability of foreign investment on Wednesday, a senior Mexican official told Reuters. In a meeting at the White House, officials from both countries discussed the beginning of public consultations ahead of a revision of the USMCA North...
Fed releases 2025 bank stress test scenarios
Fed releases 2025 bank stress test scenarios
Feb 5, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve announced on Wednesday it would be testing big banks against heightened stress in commercial and residential real estate markets as part of the U.S. central bank's annual stress tests. The Fed added that the annual exams would include an additional exploratory component that would examine shocks in the non-bank sector, as well as the...
Union asks judge to block Elon Musk's DOGE from Labor Dept systems
Union asks judge to block Elon Musk's DOGE from Labor Dept systems
Feb 5, 2025
(Reuters) - One of the largest U.S. labor unions asked a federal judge on Wednesday to block Elon Musk's government cost-cutting effort from accessing the Department of Labor's systems, which the union warned could give the billionaire sensitive information about investigations into his companies. President Donald Trump has deputized Musk, the world's richest person and owner of electric vehicle company...
Fed's Jefferson: In no rush to reduce level of policy restraint
Fed's Jefferson: In no rush to reduce level of policy restraint
Feb 5, 2025
(Reuters) - U.S. Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson on Wednesday said he is content to keep the central bank's policy rate in its current position until policymakers get a better sense of the net effects of the Trump administration's policies on tariffs, immigration, deregulation and taxes. Even after 100 basis points of rate cuts in the latter part of...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved