financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
US Commerce Secretary wants to remove government spending from GDP
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US Commerce Secretary wants to remove government spending from GDP
Mar 2, 2025 8:05 PM

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said on Sunday he would strip out government spending from the gross domestic product (GDP) report, but gave no indication how soon this change might happen, while dismissing fears of a possible recession.

"You know that governments historically have messed with GDP," Lutnick said during an interview on Fox News Channel's "Sunday Morning Futures" program.

"They count government spending as part of GDP. So I'm going to separate those two and make it transparent."

Lutnick was asked whether he was concerned that the Trump administration's policies, including tariffs on imports and efforts to shrink the government through deep spending cuts and mass layoffs would push the economy into recession.

"No, no, no," said Lutnick.

Business and consumer sentiment have deteriorated in recent months, erasing gains notched following President Donald Trump's election victory in November. Data on consumer spending and the goods trade deficit have raised the risk of the economy contracting in the first quarter, fanning fears of a recession.

Federal government spending accounts for about 6.5% of GDP. It contributed 0.25 percentage point to the economy's 2.3% annualized growth rate in the fourth quarter, mostly from defense spending.

"If the government buys a tank, that's GDP, but paying 1,000 people to think about buying a tank is not GDP," said Lutnick, calling that "wasted money" as he explained the rationale for removing government spending from GDP.

Tens of thousands of federal workers have been fired by tech billionaire Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE, - an entity created by Trump to shrink and cut what the White House has called government waste.

ECONOMISTS ARE WARY

Economists cautioned against changes to the current national accounts structure as it would make GDP very volatile and difficult to get a clear view of the economy's health, creating more uncertainty.

"I don't think the stock market, the financial markets would like that," said Sung Won Sohn, Finance and Economics professor at Loyola Marymount University.

It would also be impossible to compare the U.S. economy's performance against its global peers.

Looking at the private sector alone would not give the full picture on growth, Sohn said.

"Economic growth over time would become a lot more volatile. The reason is, when the economy slows or, when we are in a recession, for example, the government spends a lot of money," he said.

Removing government spending from GDP would distort the figure as government productivity is assumed to be zero whatever the production is in the computation of GDP.

"It's imperative that we keep the current system because, we need to make comparisons, and it's important to know how well we are doing compared to a year ago, five years ago, 10 years ago, and we can learn from our mistakes," Sohn said.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
In fight to curb climate change, a grim report shows world is struggling to get on track
In fight to curb climate change, a grim report shows world is struggling to get on track
Nov 14, 2023
The State of Climate Action report released on Tuesday by the World Resources Institute, Climate Action Tracker, the Bezos Earth Fund and others looks at what's needed in several sectors of the global economy power, transportation, buildings, industry, finance and forestry to fit in a world that limits warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) over pre-industrial times, the goal the world adopted at Paris in 2015. The globe has already warmed about 1.2 degrees Celsius (2.2 degrees Fahrenheit) since the mid-19th century.
India looking into 'freak' incidents like damage to Sikkim's Chungthang dam: RK Singh
India looking into 'freak' incidents like damage to Sikkim's Chungthang dam: RK Singh
Oct 18, 2023
Stressing on the need to have quick ramp up and ramp down energy sources for grid balancing, the minister described hydroelectric power's role as essential in the path to energy transition as wind energy is intermittent and the sun doesn't shine 24×7.
JPMorgan has a new way to gauge its green progress
JPMorgan has a new way to gauge its green progress
Nov 15, 2023
As the largest energy banker, JPMorgan is a frequent target of criticism over Wall Street’s role in the climate crisis. At the same time, the bank is a leading US arranger of green bonds, making it vulnerable to Republicans seeking to protect the fossil fuel industry.
Zoomed Out | Critical Minerals — why India's current strategy to become self-reliant is so vital
Zoomed Out | Critical Minerals — why India's current strategy to become self-reliant is so vital
Nov 29, 2023
Internationally, there are genuine security concerns related to the criticality in building more diverse and dependable value chains for critical minerals, about their environmental and social sustainability, and technological challenges. While, India has taken the right steps for creating an ecosystem for accelerated exploration and production of critical and new age minerals, observes FICCI Mining Committee Co-Chair Pankaj Satija.
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved