financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
US consumer prices post largest gain in seven months in November
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US consumer prices post largest gain in seven months in November
Dec 11, 2024 5:58 AM

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. consumer prices increased by the most in seven months in November, but that is unlikely to discourage the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates for a third time next week against the backdrop of a cooling labor market.

The consumer price index rose 0.3% last month, the largest gain since April after advancing 0.2% for four straight months, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Wednesday. In the 12 months through November, the CPI climbed 2.7% after increasing 2.6% in October.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI rising 0.3% and advancing 2.7% year-on-year.

The annual increase in inflation has slowed considerably from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022. Nonetheless, progress in lowering inflation down to the U.S. central bank's 2% target has virtually stalled in recent months.

The Fed is, however, now more focused on the labor market. Though job growth accelerated in November after being severely restricted by strikes and hurricanes in October, the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.2% after holding at 4.1% for two consecutive months.

Early on Wednesday, financial markets saw a roughly 86% probability of a 25 basis points rate cut at the Fed's Dec. 17-18 policy meeting, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

Fewer rate cuts are, however, expected next year than had been anticipated a few months ago.

Though slower inflation is forecast next year amid a moderation in rents and rising labor market slack, that could be offset by higher prices from tariffs and mass deportations that have been promised by President-elect Donald Trump.

"From a fundamental standpoint, we do not see material upside risk to inflation," said Stephen Juneau, an economist at Bank of America Securities. "That said, progress on inflation should stall next year given our expected changes to tariffs, fiscal and immigration policies."

Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the CPI increased 0.3% in November, rising by the same margin for the fourth consecutive month.

In the 12 months through November, the so-called core CPI gained 3.3%. That followed a similar advance in October.

The Fed kicked off its monetary policy easing cycle in September. Its benchmark overnight interest rate is now in the 4.50%-4.75% range, having been hiked by 5.25 percentage points between March 2022 and July 2023 to tame inflation.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Factbox-More brokerages forecast Fed rate cut in September after softer CPI
Factbox-More brokerages forecast Fed rate cut in September after softer CPI
Jul 16, 2024
(Reuters) -Brokerages have amped up expectations of an interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve in September after an unexpected drop in consumer prices in June shored up policymakers' confidence in their fight against inflation. The consumer price index dipped 0.1% in June, while economists had forecast a 0.1% rise. The Fed held interest rates steady at 5.25-5.50% since...
US retail sales unchanged in June, beating forecasts for slight drop
US retail sales unchanged in June, beating forecasts for slight drop
Jul 16, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. retail sales were unchanged in June and the underlying trend was strong, which could boost economic growth estimates for the second quarter. The flat reading in retail sales last month followed an upwardly revised 0.3% gain in May, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Tuesday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail sales, which are...
No rush for US Fed to cut rates, IMF's chief economist says
No rush for US Fed to cut rates, IMF's chief economist says
Jul 16, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Cooling inflation data is allowing the Federal Reserve to begin a very reasonable shift toward easing rates, but a still-strong U.S. labor market means that there's no rush to make decisions, International Monetary Fund chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas told Reuters. Gourinchas said in an interview accompanying the release of new IMF growth forecasts on Tuesday it is...
Confidence is growing on winning inflation fight, Fed's Daly says
Confidence is growing on winning inflation fight, Fed's Daly says
Jul 15, 2024
(Reuters) - San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly on Monday said confidence is growing that inflation is heading toward the U.S. central bank's 2% goal, the bar that policymakers have set for cutting interest rates. Confidence is growing that we are getting nearer a sustainable pace of getting inflation back down to 2%, Daly told a tech-focused conference...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved