financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
US consumer prices post largest gain in seven months in November
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US consumer prices post largest gain in seven months in November
Dec 11, 2024 5:58 AM

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. consumer prices increased by the most in seven months in November, but that is unlikely to discourage the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates for a third time next week against the backdrop of a cooling labor market.

The consumer price index rose 0.3% last month, the largest gain since April after advancing 0.2% for four straight months, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Wednesday. In the 12 months through November, the CPI climbed 2.7% after increasing 2.6% in October.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI rising 0.3% and advancing 2.7% year-on-year.

The annual increase in inflation has slowed considerably from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022. Nonetheless, progress in lowering inflation down to the U.S. central bank's 2% target has virtually stalled in recent months.

The Fed is, however, now more focused on the labor market. Though job growth accelerated in November after being severely restricted by strikes and hurricanes in October, the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.2% after holding at 4.1% for two consecutive months.

Early on Wednesday, financial markets saw a roughly 86% probability of a 25 basis points rate cut at the Fed's Dec. 17-18 policy meeting, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

Fewer rate cuts are, however, expected next year than had been anticipated a few months ago.

Though slower inflation is forecast next year amid a moderation in rents and rising labor market slack, that could be offset by higher prices from tariffs and mass deportations that have been promised by President-elect Donald Trump.

"From a fundamental standpoint, we do not see material upside risk to inflation," said Stephen Juneau, an economist at Bank of America Securities. "That said, progress on inflation should stall next year given our expected changes to tariffs, fiscal and immigration policies."

Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the CPI increased 0.3% in November, rising by the same margin for the fourth consecutive month.

In the 12 months through November, the so-called core CPI gained 3.3%. That followed a similar advance in October.

The Fed kicked off its monetary policy easing cycle in September. Its benchmark overnight interest rate is now in the 4.50%-4.75% range, having been hiked by 5.25 percentage points between March 2022 and July 2023 to tame inflation.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Fed's Bostic says first rate cut should come in Q4 of this year
Fed's Bostic says first rate cut should come in Q4 of this year
Apr 3, 2024
(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve should not cut its benchmark interest rate until the end of this year, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said on Wednesday, as he maintained his view that the U.S. central bank should reduce borrowing costs only once over the course of 2024. We've seen inflation kind of become much more bumpy, Bostic said in an...
US service sector expands moderately in March; price pressures easing
US service sector expands moderately in March; price pressures easing
Apr 3, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. services industry growth slowed further in March, while a measure of prices paid by businesses for inputs dropped to a four-year low, which bodes well for the inflation outlook. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said on Wednesday that its non-manufacturing PMI fell to 51.4 last month from 52.6 in February. It was the second straight...
Fed blocks tough climate risk proposal by global banking watchdog, Bloomberg reports
Fed blocks tough climate risk proposal by global banking watchdog, Bloomberg reports
Apr 3, 2024
April 3 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve has blocked a push by a global banking watchdog to make climate risk a focus of financial rules, Bloomberg News reported on Wednesday, citing people familiar with the matter. The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision had proposed that starting January 2026, banks publish detailed information about the impact of climate change on...
US service sector expands moderately in March; price pressures easing
US service sector expands moderately in March; price pressures easing
Apr 3, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. services industry growth slowed further in March, while a measure of prices paid by businesses for inputs dropped to a four-year low, which bodes well for the inflation outlook. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said on Wednesday that its non-manufacturing PMI fell to 51.4 last month from 52.6 in February. It was the second straight...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved