financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
US consumer prices post largest gain in seven months in November
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US consumer prices post largest gain in seven months in November
Dec 11, 2024 5:58 AM

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. consumer prices increased by the most in seven months in November, but that is unlikely to discourage the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates for a third time next week against the backdrop of a cooling labor market.

The consumer price index rose 0.3% last month, the largest gain since April after advancing 0.2% for four straight months, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Wednesday. In the 12 months through November, the CPI climbed 2.7% after increasing 2.6% in October.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI rising 0.3% and advancing 2.7% year-on-year.

The annual increase in inflation has slowed considerably from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022. Nonetheless, progress in lowering inflation down to the U.S. central bank's 2% target has virtually stalled in recent months.

The Fed is, however, now more focused on the labor market. Though job growth accelerated in November after being severely restricted by strikes and hurricanes in October, the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.2% after holding at 4.1% for two consecutive months.

Early on Wednesday, financial markets saw a roughly 86% probability of a 25 basis points rate cut at the Fed's Dec. 17-18 policy meeting, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

Fewer rate cuts are, however, expected next year than had been anticipated a few months ago.

Though slower inflation is forecast next year amid a moderation in rents and rising labor market slack, that could be offset by higher prices from tariffs and mass deportations that have been promised by President-elect Donald Trump.

"From a fundamental standpoint, we do not see material upside risk to inflation," said Stephen Juneau, an economist at Bank of America Securities. "That said, progress on inflation should stall next year given our expected changes to tariffs, fiscal and immigration policies."

Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the CPI increased 0.3% in November, rising by the same margin for the fourth consecutive month.

In the 12 months through November, the so-called core CPI gained 3.3%. That followed a similar advance in October.

The Fed kicked off its monetary policy easing cycle in September. Its benchmark overnight interest rate is now in the 4.50%-4.75% range, having been hiked by 5.25 percentage points between March 2022 and July 2023 to tame inflation.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US Dollar Rises Early Tuesday Ahead of Trade, Redbook, Consumer Sentiment
US Dollar Rises Early Tuesday Ahead of Trade, Redbook, Consumer Sentiment
Aug 6, 2024
07:40 AM EDT, 08/06/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar rose against its major trading partners early Tuesday ahead of the release of international trade data for June at 8:30 am ET and weekly Redbook same store sales at 8:55 am ET. Consumer sentiment data for August follows at 10:00 am ET and the Atlanta Federal Reserve is expected to...
US recession worries surge again. What is in the data?
US recession worries surge again. What is in the data?
Aug 5, 2024
(Reuters) - An unexpectedly weak U.S. employment report, featuring a post-pandemic high in the jobless rate, has rekindled worries a recession may be in the offing that would dash the Federal Reserve's hoped-for soft landing for the economy. With stock markets reeling on the premise the Fed has now kept interest rates too high for too long, a Goldilocks outcome...
GlobalFoundries sees Q3 adjusted profit below estimates as inventory woes persist
GlobalFoundries sees Q3 adjusted profit below estimates as inventory woes persist
Aug 6, 2024
(Reuters) - GlobalFoundries ( GFS ) marginally beat Wall Street expectations for second quarter revenue on Tuesday but forecast third-quarter adjusted profit below expectations, indicating a slower-than-anticipated recovery in chip demand. The contract chipmaker reported a 11.5% decline in net revenue for the second-quarter as inventory levels at its customers in the Home and Industrial Internet of Things (IoT), smart...
'I Do Not Think The US Economy Is In Recession:' Sahm Rule Creator Refutes Claims Amid Market Turmoil
'I Do Not Think The US Economy Is In Recession:' Sahm Rule Creator Refutes Claims Amid Market Turmoil
Aug 5, 2024
Claudia Sahm, the economist who invented the Sahm Rule, has contradicted claims of a recession in the U.S. economy. This comes amid mounting fears of a recession due to recent market instability. What Happened: Sahm, who is known for developing the Sahm Rule, a key indicator used to predict the onset of a recession, has stated that she does not...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved