financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
US consumers happier about finances, expect stable inflation, New York Fed says
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US consumers happier about finances, expect stable inflation, New York Fed says
Jul 8, 2025 8:22 AM

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Americans' outlook on inflation was little changed last month as households upgraded their views on the state of their finances and ability to get credit, according to a report released on Tuesday by the New York Federal Reserve.

As of June, inflation one year from now was expected to be 3%, down from the expected 3.2% in May, while the outlooks at the three- and five-year-ahead horizons were unchanged at 3% and 2.6%, respectively, according to the latest New York Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations.

Amid the calm outlook for future price increases, the survey found that respondents had "markedly" upgraded their assessment of their personal financial situation relative to last year, while noting credit had grown easier to access. Respondents also upgraded their expectations about the state of their financial situations a year from now.

The survey found mixed expectations for future earnings and income in June, while the outlook for employment improved.

Although the New York Fed found in its poll that the public's outlook for inflation was little changed last month, households projected in June an acceleration in year-ahead gains in the cost of gasoline, medical care, college and rent, while the expected rise in food costs held steady relative to May.

Near-term inflation expectations recorded by the New York Fed have been volatile this year as President Donald Trump launched an aggressive trade war against many U.S. trading partners. The president's trade agenda, which features the imposition of high tariffs on imported goods, is widely expected to push up inflation and depress growth and hiring.

Those import levies helped drive up near-term expected inflation, and as the president appears to have capitulated so far on the most draconian of his levies, worries about higher inflation have eased. Other surveys like the University of Michigan report on consumer sentiment have also shown reduced worries about future inflation.

Meanwhile, long-term inflation expectations have remained mostly stable, which is good news for Fed officials, who believe that development suggests confidence that over the long run inflation will not be a major concern.

Fed officials, however, are expecting higher inflation this year due to the tariffs, which they expect to wane starting next year. Fed officials penciled in two rate cuts for this year at their policy meeting last month but offered little guidance as to when that might happen. Some Fed officials were eyeing the July 29-30 policy meeting as a good time for a rate cut, but solid job market data for June appears to have taken that idea off the board.

In comments after the June 17-18 meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said "our obligation is to keep longer-term inflation expectations well-anchored and to prevent a one-time increase in the price level from becoming an ongoing inflation problem."

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US Equity Indexes Fall in Choppy Trading as Waller Sees Inflation Easing Amid Drop in Jobless Claims
US Equity Indexes Fall in Choppy Trading as Waller Sees Inflation Easing Amid Drop in Jobless Claims
Jan 8, 2025
01:16 PM EST, 01/08/2025 (MT Newswires) -- US equity indexes fell in choppy midday trading Wednesday as investors weighed an unexpected drop in jobless claims with Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller's view that inflation remains on an easing trajectory. The S&P 500 fell 0.1% to 5,906.2, with the Nasdaq Composite down 0.1% to 19,463.3 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average...
Drop in US wholesale inventories in November unrevised at 0.2%
Drop in US wholesale inventories in November unrevised at 0.2%
Jan 8, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. wholesale inventories fell 0.2% in November, as initially estimated last month, amid sharp declines in stocks of long-lasting manufactured goods like motor vehicles and computer equipment. Stocks at wholesalers were unchanged in October, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters had expected the drop in inventories, a key part of gross...
US weekly jobless claims fall to 11-month low as labor market remains stable
US weekly jobless claims fall to 11-month low as labor market remains stable
Jan 8, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits fell to an 11-month low last week, pointing to a stable labor market, though a slowdown in hiring has led some laid-off workers to experience long bouts of joblessness. Signs of a steadily cooling labor market could allow the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in January...
Is Labor Market Cooling Or Raising Fed Concerns? What To Watch In Friday's Jobs Report
Is Labor Market Cooling Or Raising Fed Concerns? What To Watch In Friday's Jobs Report
Jan 8, 2025
Friday’s official jobs report is expected to shed light on the cooling U.S. labor market in December 2024, as economists project slower hiring that could ease pressure on the Federal Reserve amid renewed inflation concerns and policy uncertainty under Donald Trump‘s incoming administration. In a preview shared Wednesday, ADP's National Employment Report—a private-sector-focused indicator—revealed that employers added 122,000 jobs in...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved