financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
US consumers happier about finances, expect stable inflation, New York Fed says
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US consumers happier about finances, expect stable inflation, New York Fed says
Jul 8, 2025 8:22 AM

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Americans' outlook on inflation was little changed last month as households upgraded their views on the state of their finances and ability to get credit, according to a report released on Tuesday by the New York Federal Reserve.

As of June, inflation one year from now was expected to be 3%, down from the expected 3.2% in May, while the outlooks at the three- and five-year-ahead horizons were unchanged at 3% and 2.6%, respectively, according to the latest New York Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations.

Amid the calm outlook for future price increases, the survey found that respondents had "markedly" upgraded their assessment of their personal financial situation relative to last year, while noting credit had grown easier to access. Respondents also upgraded their expectations about the state of their financial situations a year from now.

The survey found mixed expectations for future earnings and income in June, while the outlook for employment improved.

Although the New York Fed found in its poll that the public's outlook for inflation was little changed last month, households projected in June an acceleration in year-ahead gains in the cost of gasoline, medical care, college and rent, while the expected rise in food costs held steady relative to May.

Near-term inflation expectations recorded by the New York Fed have been volatile this year as President Donald Trump launched an aggressive trade war against many U.S. trading partners. The president's trade agenda, which features the imposition of high tariffs on imported goods, is widely expected to push up inflation and depress growth and hiring.

Those import levies helped drive up near-term expected inflation, and as the president appears to have capitulated so far on the most draconian of his levies, worries about higher inflation have eased. Other surveys like the University of Michigan report on consumer sentiment have also shown reduced worries about future inflation.

Meanwhile, long-term inflation expectations have remained mostly stable, which is good news for Fed officials, who believe that development suggests confidence that over the long run inflation will not be a major concern.

Fed officials, however, are expecting higher inflation this year due to the tariffs, which they expect to wane starting next year. Fed officials penciled in two rate cuts for this year at their policy meeting last month but offered little guidance as to when that might happen. Some Fed officials were eyeing the July 29-30 policy meeting as a good time for a rate cut, but solid job market data for June appears to have taken that idea off the board.

In comments after the June 17-18 meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said "our obligation is to keep longer-term inflation expectations well-anchored and to prevent a one-time increase in the price level from becoming an ongoing inflation problem."

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Fed's Bowman says new external review of Silicon Valley Bank failure underway
Fed's Bowman says new external review of Silicon Valley Bank failure underway
Mar 20, 2026
NEW YORK, March 20 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman said Friday that the U.S. central bank is taking another look at what went wrong with Silicon Valley Bank three years ago. What happened there was really a failure of supervision and a failure of bank management, Bowman said in an interview on Fox Business Network's...
Fed's Bowman says penciled in three rate cuts for year - Fox Business Network
Fed's Bowman says penciled in three rate cuts for year - Fox Business Network
Mar 20, 2026
NEW YORK, March 20 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman said Friday she sees a series of interest rate cuts happening this year amid concerns about labor market softness. I'm still concerned about...the job market, Bowman said in an interview on the Fox Business Network. I've written three cuts in for before the end of 2026...
US equity fund outflows surge as investors dial down rate cut expectations
US equity fund outflows surge as investors dial down rate cut expectations
Mar 20, 2026
March 20 (Reuters) - U.S. equity funds witnessed the largest weekly net sales in nearly 2-1/2 months in the week to March 18 as expectations of higher oil prices, a hotter-than-expected inflation reading and the Federal Reserve's cautious stance dampened hopes for rate cuts this year. Investors shed U.S. equity funds of a net $24.78 billion in their largest weekly...
Powell's decision on Fed board seat could shape Warsh's leadership
Powell's decision on Fed board seat could shape Warsh's leadership
Mar 20, 2026
WASHINGTON, March 20 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming decision on whether to keep his seat on the U.S. central bank's Board of Governors after his leadership term ends is now a key factor in how the tenure of his would-be successor Kevin Warsh evolves, and whether President Donald Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent can pursue any...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved