financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
US corporate profits rebound in second quarter; GDP growth revised higher
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US corporate profits rebound in second quarter; GDP growth revised higher
Aug 28, 2025 6:45 AM

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. corporate profits rebounded in the second quarter, but tariffs on imports are raising costs for businesses, which could limit further gains and hamper economic growth.

Profits from current production with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments increased $65.5 billion last quarter, the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) said on Thursday. Profits decreased $90.6 billion in the January-March period.

President Donald Trump's protectionist trade policy has raised the nation's average import duty to its highest level in a century, inflicting pain on companies ranging from retailers to manufacturers. Caterpillar this month warned tariffs could cost the economic bellwether up to $1.5 billion this year.

In July, General Motors' second-quarter earnings took a $1.1 billion hit from the duties and the automaker anticipated more pain in the third quarter. Clothing retailer Abercrombie & Fitch on Wednesday warned that higher tariffs on countries such as Vietnam, Indonesia, Cambodia and India would increase costs by $90 million this year. 

The manner in which the Trump administration has implemented the tariffs, including escalations and 90-day pauses, has muddied the waters, making it challenging for economists to parse economic data. A front-loading of imports as businesses rushed to beat the duties pulled down gross domestic product in the first quarter before snapping back as the flow of foreign merchandise ebbed.

GDP increased at a 3.3% annualized rate last quarter, the BEA said in its second estimate. The economy was initially reported to have grown at a 3.0% pace in the second quarter. It contracted at a 0.5% pace in the January-March quarter, which was the first GDP decline in three years. 

Economists polled by Reuters had expected GDP growth would be raised to a 3.1% rate. The revision reflected upgrades to consumer spending, the economy's main engine, as well as business investment in equipment.

Both first- and second-quarter GDP readings are not a true reflection of the economy's health because of the wild swings in imports. 

To get a better read of the economy, economists have recommended focusing on the final sales to private domestic purchasers measure, which excludes trade, inventories and government spending. This measure, also viewed by policymakers as a barometer of underlying economic growth, increased at an upwardly revised 1.9% pace last quarter.

Domestic demand was initially estimated to have grown at a 1.2% rate. It advanced at a 1.9% pace in the first quarter.

EASING LABOR MARKET

    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell last week signaled a possible interest rate cut at the U.S. central bank's September 16-17 policy meeting, in a nod to rising labor market risks, but also added that inflation remained a threat. 

The Fed has kept its benchmark overnight interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range since December.

When measured from the income side, the economy grew at a 4.8% pace in the second quarter. Gross domestic income (GDI) increased at a 0.2% pace in the January-March period. 

The average of GDP and GDI, also referred to as gross domestic output and considered a better measure of economic activity, rebounded at a 4.0% pace. Gross domestic output fell at a 0.1% rate in the first quarter.

Economists expect a lackluster second half, which would limit growth to about 1.5% for the full year because of tariffs. That reading would be down from 2.8% in 2024 and below the 1.8% rate Fed officials view as the non-inflationary growth pace.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
NY Fed: Student loan borrowing trouble surged in first quarter
NY Fed: Student loan borrowing trouble surged in first quarter
May 26, 2025
(Reuters) - U.S. student loan borrowers ran into trouble during the first quarter after the government lifted a long-running moratorium on debt repayment implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic, a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said on Tuesday. As part of its quarterly review of household debt trends, the bank said that total level credit that had...
Factbox-Brokerages dial down US recession forecasts amid tariff optimism
Factbox-Brokerages dial down US recession forecasts amid tariff optimism
May 26, 2025
(Reuters) - Some of the major brokerages have revised downward their U.S. recession forecasts after a temporary tariff truce between the U.S. and China eased global trade tensions and sparked a rally in riskier assets this week. Goldman Sachs, the first major brokerage to make this adjustment, lowered its recession probability from 45% to 35%. Barclays has dismissed recession risks...
Fed to stay patient amid cooling trade war and inflation
Fed to stay patient amid cooling trade war and inflation
May 26, 2025
(Reuters) -Tamer-than-expected inflation and a significant de-escalation of a U.S.-China trade war are easing fears of a sharp squeeze on American households and businesses in coming months, prompting Wall Street firms to pare predictions of a recession and giving the Federal Reserve room to leave interest rates where they are. JP Morgan Chase and Barclays were among firms adjusting their...
NY Fed: Student loan borrowing trouble surged in first quarter
NY Fed: Student loan borrowing trouble surged in first quarter
May 26, 2025
(Reuters) - U.S. student loan borrowers ran into trouble during the first quarter after the government lifted a long-running moratorium on debt repayment implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic, a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said on Tuesday. As part of its quarterly review of household debt trends, the bank said that total level credit that had...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved