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US Dollar Rises Early Thursday Before Jobless Claims, Productivity, Natural Gas Inventory Data
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US Dollar Rises Early Thursday Before Jobless Claims, Productivity, Natural Gas Inventory Data
Feb 6, 2025 5:22 AM

08:00 AM EST, 02/06/2025 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar rose against its major trading partners early Thursday, except for a decline versus the yen after hawkish Bank of Japan comments, ahead of the release of weekly jobless claims data and the preliminary productivity report for Q4, both at 8:30 am ET.

Weekly natural gas inventory data are due to be released at 10:30 am ET.

Earlier Thursday, outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that January layoffs intentions rose from December but were lower than a year ago and the smallest total for a January report since 2022. Layoff intentions in the technology and retail sectors were the largest contributors in January, while business closings were the most cited reason.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller is set to speak at 2:30 pm ET, followed by San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly at 3:30 pm ET and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan at 5:10 pm ET. Only Waller votes on the Federal Open Market Committee this year.

A quick summary of foreign exchange activity heading into Thursday:

EUR/USD fell to 1.0361 from 1.0406 at the Wednesday US close and 1.0414 at the same time Wednesday morning. Eurozone retail sales fell more than expected in December while Eurozone construction purchasing managers' index increased in January but still indicates contraction, data released earlier Thursday showed. The next European Central Bank meeting is scheduled for March 5-6.

GBP/USD fell to 1.2376 from 1.2502 at the Wednesday US close and 1.2532 at the same time Wednesday morning. The Bank of England lowered its target rate by 25 basis points earlier Thursday, saying they will maintain a "gradual and careful" approach to rate cutting. Two BoE members dissented in favor of a larger 50 basis point rate reduction. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey is due to speak at 9:15 am ET. The next Bank of England meeting is scheduled for March 20. Earlier Thursday, UK construction PMI was reported to have declined below the breakeven point in January.

USD/JPY fell to 152.3948 from 152.7050 at the Wednesday US close and 152.8334 at the same time Wednesday morning. There were no Japanese data released overnight, but Bank of Japan board member Naoki Tamura said he believes the BoJ should raise interest rates to at least 1% in the second half of fiscal year 2025 from the current 0.5% rate, due to expected inflation. The next Bank of Japan meeting is scheduled for March 18-19.

USD/CAD rose to 1.4353 from 1.4313 at the Wednesday US close and 1.4293 at the same time Wednesday morning. Canada leading indicators for January are scheduled to be released at 9:00 am ET, followed by the Canada IVEY survey for January at 10:00 am ET. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem is expected to speak at 5:00 pm ET. The next Bank of Canada meeting is scheduled for March 12.

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