financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
U.S. firms saw slowing economic activity in recent weeks, Fed survey shows
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
U.S. firms saw slowing economic activity in recent weeks, Fed survey shows
Sep 6, 2024 12:33 PM

(Reuters) - U.S. economic activity expanded more slowly from mid July through late August and businesses reported less hiring, signals that underscore why the Federal Reserve is set to lower interest rates later this month.

The U.S. central bank's latest temperature check on the health of the economy also showed that inflation pressures increased at a modest pace.

"Economic activity grew slightly in three Districts, while the number of Districts that reported flat or declining activity rose from five in the prior period to nine in the current period," the Fed said on Wednesday in the survey known as the "Beige Book," which polled business contacts across the central bank's 12 districts through Aug. 26. "Employers were more selective with their hires and less likely to expand their workforces, citing concerns about demand and an uncertain economic outlook."

The analysis, released roughly every six weeks, comes as Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues have made clear they intend to cut interest rates from the current 5.25%-5.50% range, where they have been for more than a year, at their next policy meeting on Sept. 17-18. The only uncertainty is if weakening labor market conditions merit a quarter percentage point cut or a larger-than-normal half percentage point reduction.

The Fed is trying to engineer a so-called "soft landing" for the economy in which economic growth gradually slows and the unemployment rate remains relatively low even as inflation, which spiked to a 40-year high two years ago, returns to the central bank's 2% target rate.

After being stung by higher-than-expected inflation in the first part of this year the pace of annual price increases came down, by the Fed's preferred measure, to 2.5% in July and officials are increasingly confident they will reach their goal.

Instead, attention has turned to a jump in the unemployment rate to a near three-year high of 4.3% in July, the fourth straight monthly rise in the jobless rate, amid increasing concern that high borrowing costs may be overdampening demand for labor.

So far the slowdown in the job market has been mostly driven by a step down in hiring rather than layoffs. Job openings dropped to a 3-1/2-year low in July, data earlier on Wednesday showed.

Five Fed districts reported slight or modest rises in overall headcounts, but a few districts said firms "reduced shifts and hours, left advertised positions unfilled, or reduced headcounts through attrition." Layoffs, however, remained low.

Investors currently expect the Fed to lower borrowing costs in September, November and December this year.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Some Fed policymakers open to lowering the overnight repo rate
Some Fed policymakers open to lowering the overnight repo rate
Nov 26, 2024
SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Some Federal Reserve policymakers believe it may soon be time to lower the rate on funds that banks and money market funds park at the Fed, minutes from the Fed's most recent meeting indicated, so that it once again matches the bottom of the range of the policy rate. The so-called overnight reverse repurchase agreement rate,...
Spirits industry to seek exemption from Trump's universal tariffs
Spirits industry to seek exemption from Trump's universal tariffs
Nov 27, 2024
LONDON (Reuters) -The spirits industry is planning to push for an exemption to any universal tariffs on U.S. imports imposed by the incoming Trump administration, a trade body representing top spirits makers told Reuters. President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to impose across-the-board tariffs of 10% on foreign made goods imported into the United States in a bid to eliminate the...
Thanksgiving Travel Preview: AAA Expects Record Numbers, TSA Braces For Busiest Day Ever, Arctic Weather Blast
Thanksgiving Travel Preview: AAA Expects Record Numbers, TSA Braces For Busiest Day Ever, Arctic Weather Blast
Nov 26, 2024
AAA expects record-setting travel numbers for Thanksgiving 2024 with an estimated 79.9 million travelers, up 2% from the previous record set last year. Here's what to know Tuesday before hitting the road later this week for the holiday.  What To Know: AAA attributes the staggering number of travelers to economic growth, declining inflation and strong income gains, which it sees...
Jim Cramer Says Bitcoin And Ethereum 'Deserve A Spot In Your Portfolio' As Hedge Against Rising US Debt: 'I've Liked Crypto For A Very Long Time'
Jim Cramer Says Bitcoin And Ethereum 'Deserve A Spot In Your Portfolio' As Hedge Against Rising US Debt: 'I've Liked Crypto For A Very Long Time'
Nov 26, 2024
Financial analyst Jim Cramer endorsed owning cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) as a safeguard against government overspending and an ever-increasing deficit. What Happened: Cramer defended his pro-cryptocurrency stance, stating that the concerns over national debt are perpetual, CNBC reported Tuesday. I think Bitcoin, Ethereum, and maybe even some other cryptocurrencies deserve a spot in your portfolio,...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved