financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
US real earnings stalled across age, income groups in past year, study shows
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US real earnings stalled across age, income groups in past year, study shows
May 26, 2025 12:33 PM

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -Inflation-adjusted earnings stalled across age and income groups over the past year, while the sometimes rapid wage gains of the COVID-19 era have left workers as a whole little better off five years later, a JPMorganChase Institute study concluded.

The study, released on Thursday, said after-tax take-home pay, adjusted for inflation that soared above 9% in 2022, grew more slowly than the economy as a whole from 2019 through 2025, likely leaving workers with a smaller share of annual output.

While lower-paid workers have kept the relative wage gains made early in the pandemic, when their pay was rising faster than others, that progress has stalled recently, the study found, with earnings growing about the same across income categories.

"While the labor market has been strong, American workers may sense that it could have been even stronger," as the economy continued to grow but wage gains were offset by inflation, the institute said in its study.

It used data from about 20 million checking accounts, including 7 million from the 2019-2025 period, to track take-home earnings of individuals by income level and age.

The findings are potentially relevant for Federal Reserve officials trying to gauge the resilience of consumer spending should inflation accelerate due to the Trump administration's import tariffs.

Retail spending barely grew in April after a surge of buying in March that may have reflected efforts to make purchases before the tariffs on goods from China and other major trading partners took effect.

Whether spending rebounds or continues to slow from here will be important to U.S. central bankers trying to understand the impact of trade policy on the economy. Firms like Walmart have warned of future price increases, while Fed officials and economists say households are facing mounting financial challenges, including the restart of student loan repayments and the loss of financial buffers built up from government payments during the pandemic.

"Workers can see how their wages are moving, and they can read the paper and understand what is happening" on trade and other issues, Institute President Christopher Wheat said in an interview. "Eventually you'd think that is going to show up in spending, though we've not directly seen that yet."

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Vanguard favors high-quality credit as US economy nears 'turning point'
Vanguard favors high-quality credit as US economy nears 'turning point'
Jul 19, 2024
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Top U.S. asset manager Vanguard favors high-rated corporate debt over riskier high-yield companies' bonds as it seeks protection against the possibility a sharper-than-anticipated U.S. economic downturn caused by high borrowing costs, it said in a report. After one year since the Federal Reserve last raised interest rates, investors largely expect the U.S. central bank to finally...
US equity funds attract big inflows in week to July 17
US equity funds attract big inflows in week to July 17
Jul 19, 2024
(Reuters) - U.S. equity funds attracted big inflows in the seven days to July 17, driven by expectations of a U.S. interest rate cut amid cooling consumer prices and robust corporate earnings. According to LSEG data, investors pumped $21.7 billion into U.S. equity funds during the week, the largest weekly net inflow since February 2021. Earlier this week, the S&P...
June Unemployment Rate Rise Largest in Kansas, Missouri, Ohio, Massachusetts and South Carolina
June Unemployment Rate Rise Largest in Kansas, Missouri, Ohio, Massachusetts and South Carolina
Jul 19, 2024
10:12 AM EDT, 07/19/2024 (MT Newswires) -- State-level data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Friday showed the unemployment rate rose in eight states in June, fell in one and held steady elsewhere. The largest unemployment rate gains were in Kansas, Missouri, Ohio, Massachusetts and South Carolina, where it rose by 0.2 percentage point in each state. South Dakota...
Daily Roundup of Key US Economic Data for July 19
Daily Roundup of Key US Economic Data for July 19
Jul 19, 2024
02:43 PM EDT, 07/19/2024 (MT Newswires) -- State-level from the BLS showed that the unemployment rate rose in eight states in June, fell in one state and held steady elsewhere. The largest gains were in Kansas, Massachusetts, Missouri, Ohio and South Carolina, with 0.2 percentage point gains each. Connecticut posted the only decrease, falling by 0.4 percentage points. South Dakota...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved