financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
US retail sales beat expectations in November
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US retail sales beat expectations in November
Dec 17, 2024 6:06 AM

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. retail sales increased in more than expected in November amid an acceleration in motor vehicle purchases, consistent with strong underlying momentum in the economy as the year winds down.

Retail sales jumped 0.7% last month after an upwardly revised 0.5% gain in October, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Tuesday.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail sales, which are mostly goods and are not adjusted for inflation, advancing 0.5% after a previously reported 0.4% rise in October.

Estimates ranged from a 0.1% dip to a 1.0% jump. Labor market resilience, characterized by historically low layoffs and strong wage growth, is underpinning consumer spending and keeping the economic expansion on track.

Strong household balance sheets, reflecting record stock market prices and high home prices, are also driving spending.

Household savings remain supportive.

The solid increase in retail sales came despite a late Thanksgiving holiday that pushed Cyber Monday into December, and was consistent with a strong start to the holiday shopping season. It was also in spite of a less favorable seasonal factor, the model that the government uses to strip seasonal fluctuations from the data.

Federal Reserve officials were due to start a two-day policy meeting on Tuesday and were expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, the third reduction in borrowing costs since the U.S. central bank embarked on its easing cycle in September.

Strong retail sales added to warmer inflation readings in recent months in suggesting that the Fed could pause rate cuts in January. President-elect Donald Trump's incoming administration's planned policies, including tariffs on imports and mass deportations of undocumented immigrants, are also seen complicating matters for the central bank.

"Sticky, above-target inflation will weigh on the Fed's decisions next year," said Oliver Allen, senior U.S. economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

"But with tariffs set to squeeze real after-tax incomes and undermine confidence, we think the Committee will be more worried initially about the labor market."

The U.S. central bank's benchmark overnight interest rate is currently in the 4.50%-4.75% range, having been hiked by 5.25 percentage points between March 2022 and July 2023.

Retail sales excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services rose 0.4% last month after an unrevised 0.1% dip in October. These so-called core retail sales, which correspond most closely with the consumer spending component of gross domestic product.

Consumer spending grew at a 3.5% annualized rate in the third quarter, accounting for most of the economy's 2.8% pace of expansion during that period. The Atlanta Fed is currently forecasting GDP increasing at a 3.3% pace in the fourth quarter.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Weekly Jobless Claims Fall More Than Expected, Government Data Show
Weekly Jobless Claims Fall More Than Expected, Government Data Show
Jul 25, 2024
02:10 PM EDT, 07/25/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Weekly applications for unemployment insurance in the US dropped more than the market predicted, while continuing claims also fell, government data showed Thursday. The seasonally adjusted number of initial claims declined by 10,000 to 235,000 in the week ended July 20, according to the US Department of Labor. The consensus was for a...
Yellen lauds Biden for 'remarkable' economic performance, says US soft landing on track
Yellen lauds Biden for 'remarkable' economic performance, says US soft landing on track
Jul 25, 2024
RIO DE JANEIRO (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Thursday lauded President Joe Biden for a remarkable economic recovery and said that second-quarter GDP and inflation data confirmed that the U.S. is on a path to steady growth and declining inflation. In her first public remarks on the topic since Biden ended his re-election campaign and endorsed Vice...
July Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Posts Unexpected Decline
July Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Posts Unexpected Decline
Jul 25, 2024
11:07 AM EDT, 07/25/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The Kansas City Fed monthly manufacturing index fell to a reading of minus 13 in July from minus 8 in June, compared with expectations for an increase to minus 5 in a survey compiled by Bloomberg as of 8 am ET. The reading indicates faster contraction, which is in line with the Empire...
Harris touts economic policy in talk to teachers, drawing contrast with Trump
Harris touts economic policy in talk to teachers, drawing contrast with Trump
Jul 25, 2024
HOUSTON (Reuters) -U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris vowed to empower labor unions and prevent school book bans while addressing a powerful teachers' union on Thursday, seeking to draw a sharp contrast with her Republican rival for the presidency Donald Trump. In a 20-minute address in Houston to the American Federation of Teachers, Harris, 59, focused on economic policy and workers'...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved