BERLIN, July 16 (Reuters) - U.S. tariffs of 30% on
imports from the EU, planned by President Donald Trump, could
cost the German economy about a quarter of a percentage point in
growth this year and next compared with current forecasts, the
IMK institute said on Wednesday.
Trump has said he will impose 30% tariffs on imports from
the EU from August 1 if there is no progress on trade talks.
That would mean zero growth this year and 1.2% growth next
year in Germany, Europe's biggest economy, according to the IMK
institute.
This compares with its previous forecast for a recovery
from the fourth quarter and average growth of 0.2% for 2025,
rising to 1.5% next year, driven by a planned boost in public
investment and defence spending.
"A rapid implementation of the planned public investment
offensive could significantly reduce the economic risks in
Germany," said the IMK.
"Growth losses in the U.S. would be far greater than in
Germany," it said, adding the U.S. was until last year the most
important export market for Germany with an almost 10% share.