financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
US weekly jobless claims fall; import prices unchanged
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US weekly jobless claims fall; import prices unchanged
Apr 12, 2018 9:19 PM

New applications for US unemployment benefits fell last week, pointing to sustained labour market strength despite a sharp slowdown in job growth in March.

Share Market Live

NSE

While other data on Thursday showed import prices were flat in March amid a sharp drop in the cost of petroleum products, underlying imported inflation pressures are steadily rising. This together with a tightening labour market strengthens expectations inflation will gain steam this year.

Economists say a trade war between the United States and China could fan price pressures and push the Federal Reserve on to a more aggressive path of interest rate increases. Washington and Beijing have threatened each other with tens of billions of dollars' worth of tariffs. The Fed raised interest rates last month and forecast at least two more rate hikes this year.

"As long as we don't get into a trade war where tariffs are slapped on all sorts of things, the Fed should be able to maintain its slow tightening process," said Joel Naroff, chief economist at Naroff Economic Advisors in Holland, Pennsylvania.

"But tit-for-tat tariffs would raise prices and that would create real concerns at the Fed."

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 9,000 to a seasonally adjusted 233,000 for the week ended April 7, the Labour Department said. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims falling to 230,000 in the latest week.

Claims tend to be volatile around this time of year because of different timings of the Easter and school spring breaks, which can throw off the model that the government uses to smooth the data for seasonal fluctuations.

The four-week moving average of initial claims, viewed as a better measure of labor market trends as it irons out week-to-week volatility, rose 1,750 to 230,000 last week.

The economy created 103,000 jobs in March, the fewest in six months. Economists largely dismissed the slowdown as payback after hefty job gains in February. They also blamed cooler temperatures for the moderation in hiring.

The labor market is considered to be near or at full employment. The unemployment rate is at a 17-year low of 4.1%, not too far from the Fed's forecast of 3.8% by the end of this year.

Minutes of the US central bank's March 20-21 policy meeting published on Wednesday offered an upbeat assessment of the jobs market, noting that "most participants described labour market conditions as strong."

The minutes also highlighted growing labour shortages saying "in some districts, reports from business contacts or evidence from surveys pointed to continuing shortages of workers in segments of the labour market."

The dollar rose against a basket of currencies after President Donald Trump cast doubt over the timing of his threatened strike on Syria in response to a reported poison gas attack. Stocks on Wall Street were trading higher while US Treasury prices fell.

Cheap Petroleum

In a second report on Thursday, the Labour Department said March's unchanged reading in import prices was the weakest since last July and followed a 0.3% increase in February.

Import prices increased 3.6% in the 12 months through March, the biggest gain since April 2017, after advancing 3.4 percent in February. Prices for imported petroleum decreased 1.3% in March after falling 0.8 percent in February.

Excluding petroleum, import prices gained 0.1% in March after climbing 0.4 percent in the prior month. These prices have risen strongly this year, reflecting the dollar's depreciation against the currencies of the United States' main trading partners.

Import prices excluding petroleum rose 2.1% in the 12 months through March. The cost of imported food increased 0.6% in March, while prices for imported capital goods gained 0.2%.

There were also increases in prices of imported base metals, which economists attributed to pre-buying ahead of the steel and aluminum tariffs which came into effect in late March.

The price of goods imported from China edged up 0.1% in March, rising for a second straight month. Prices for imports from China increased 0.2% in the 12 months through March.

"The continued firming will likely underpin stronger nonfuel import price inflation going forward," said Gregory Daco, chief US economist at Oxford Economics in New York. "In turn, higher import prices will support rising domestic prices, but with only a moderate pass-through."

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Amazon Labor Union affiliates with Teamsters
Amazon Labor Union affiliates with Teamsters
Jun 5, 2024
(Reuters) - The Amazon Labor Union (ALU) has agreed to affiliate with the International Brotherhood of Teamsters, one of the largest U.S. labor unions, in the latest sign that unionization efforts are picking up at the e-commerce giant. ALU won a landmark victory in April 2022 after workers at Amazon's ( AMZN ) JFK8 facility, located in the New York...
Union rejects American Airlines' latest proposal offering 17% wage hikes
Union rejects American Airlines' latest proposal offering 17% wage hikes
Jun 5, 2024
CHICAGO (Reuters) - The Association of Professional Flight Attendants (APFA), which represents over 23,000 American flight attendants, said on Wednesday that it unanimously rejects the latest proposal from American Airlines ( AAL ). The airline had offered its flights attendants immediate wage increases of 17% and a new formula for higher profit sharing in 2024 in their new contracts, CEO...
US Dollar Rises Mixed in Europe Ahead of ECB Decision, Weekly Jobless Claims
US Dollar Rises Mixed in Europe Ahead of ECB Decision, Weekly Jobless Claims
Jun 6, 2024
06:05 AM EDT, 06/06/2024 (MT Newswires) -- US dollar exchange rates were a mixed bag in early European trade on Thursday as initial strength quickly faded ahead of the latest European Central Bank interest rate decision and weekly unemployment claims data in the US. The US dollar softened in relation to the euro, Swiss franc and other European currencies like...
Ray Dalio Warns Of US-China Economic Sanctions, Stresses Diversification
Ray Dalio Warns Of US-China Economic Sanctions, Stresses Diversification
Jun 5, 2024
Billionaire investor Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, recently highlighted escalating U.S.-China tensions and the importance of diversification in the face of growing global risks. Speaking at the Greenwich Economic Forum in Hong Kong, Dalio emphasized the potential for significant economic and political upheaval in the coming years, as reported by Bloomberg. He stressed that U.S. election results and economic...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved