financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
World Bank Cuts Global, US Growth Forecasts as Trade Tensions Continue
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
World Bank Cuts Global, US Growth Forecasts as Trade Tensions Continue
Jun 10, 2025 12:39 PM

03:22 PM EDT, 06/10/2025 (MT Newswires) -- The World Bank on Tuesday lowered its global and US economic growth projections for 2025 and 2026 amid trade tensions and policy uncertainty.

The World Bank now forecasts global gross domestic product to grow by 2.3% this year and 2.4% in 2026, down from its previous 2.7% estimated rate for both years.

The world's biggest economy is now projected to expand by 1.4% and 1.6% in 2025 and 2026, respectively, down by 0.9 and 0.4 percentage point from the forecasts announced in January.

"Heightened trade tensions and policy uncertainty are expected to drive global growth down this year to its slowest pace since 2008 outside of outright global recessions," the World Bank said in a statement. "The turmoil has resulted in growth forecasts being cut in nearly 70% of all economies -- across all regions and income groups."

In April, US President Donald Trump declared a 90-day pause on certain tariffs for countries that didn't retaliate to his reciprocal duties.

Trade discussions between US and Chinese officials continued for the second day in London on Tuesday. The talks are "going well, and we're spending lots of time together," CNBC reported, citing US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick. The two sides previously accused each other of violating their preliminary trade deal reached in May.

The latest outlook assumes that tariff pauses in effect as of late May will prevail through the forecast horizon, the World Bank said.

It revised down 2025 and 2026 growth forecasts for the euro area and Japan, while maintaining projections for China.

"Our analysis suggests that if today's trade disputes were resolved with agreements that halve tariffs relative to their levels in late May 2025, global growth could be stronger by about 0.2 percentage points on average over the course of 2025 and 2026," the World Bank said.

Tariff hikes and tight labor markets are putting upward pressure on global inflation, which is projected to average 2.9% in 2025, according to the report.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US 30-year fixed-rate mortgage slips to lowest level since May 2023
US 30-year fixed-rate mortgage slips to lowest level since May 2023
Aug 25, 2024
NEW YORK (Reuters) - The average rate on the popular U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage ticked down this week to the lowest level since May 2023, but may need to fall further for the housing market to see significant improvement in demand. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.46% during the week ending Aug. 22, down from 6.49% in the prior week,...
FOMC Participants Could Have Supported 25 Basis Point Cut at July Meeting, Meeting Minutes Show; September Cut Likely
FOMC Participants Could Have Supported 25 Basis Point Cut at July Meeting, Meeting Minutes Show; September Cut Likely
Aug 25, 2024
02:28 PM EDT, 08/21/2024 (MT Newswires) -- There were several Federal Reserve officials who said they could support an immediate rate cut but agreed to hold rates steady to see more data, minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's July 30-31 meeting released Wednesday showed. At the meeting, the FOMC left its target range for the federal funds rate unchanged...
Fed Rate Cuts Coming? What You Need to Know About Mortgages, Borrowing And Saving
Fed Rate Cuts Coming? What You Need to Know About Mortgages, Borrowing And Saving
Aug 25, 2024
The Federal Reserve is expected reduce its benchmark interest rate from a 23-year high next month, affecting consumer debt, savings, auto loans and mortgages. Experts currently predict three quarter-point reductions in September, November, and December, with the potential for deeper cuts, reported Fortune. Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated in his keynote speech at the Fed’s annual conference in Jackson Hole...
Paraguay president says economy should grow faster 4% in 2024 despite soy price slump
Paraguay president says economy should grow faster 4% in 2024 despite soy price slump
Aug 25, 2024
ASUNCION (Reuters) - Paraguay's economy is on track to grow a faster-than-expected 4% this year, President Santiago Pena told Reuters on Wednesday, a bullish forecast above official estimates that comes despite depressed prices for its top export, soy. Pena, 45, said growth would beat the current central bank estimate of 3.8%, already one of the region's highest. We are confident...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved