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Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Opinion On Shares Of Ball Corporation
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Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Opinion On Shares Of Ball Corporation
Nov 10, 2025 9:02 AM

11:30 AM EST, 11/10/2025 (MT Newswires) -- CFRA, an independent research provider, has provided MT Newswires with the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

We trim our 12-month target by $1 to $54, 13.5x our 2026 EPS estimate, below its three-year average forward P/E of 17.3x. We trim our 2025 EPS view by $0.05 to $3.60, cut 2026 EPS by $0.05 to $4.03, and initiate 2027 EPS at $4.50. BALL delivered Q3 2025 EPS of $1.02 (+12.1% Y/Y) while sales rose 9.6% to $3.38B. EBITDA margins compressed to 16.5% from 17.2% despite 5.7% EBITDA growth, as global aluminum packaging shipments increased 3.9% with all regions posting mid-single-digit volume growth. We expect modest sales growth of 9.6% and 4.1% in 2025 and 2026, respectively, supported by energy drink demand growth but tempered by declining alcohol consumption trends. We forecast adjusted EBITDA margins to decline to 15.8% in 2025 (down 70 bps from 2024), remain at 15.8% in 2026, and increase to 16.0% in 2027 as cost control initiatives materialize. We expect BALL's localized supply chain strategy to provide defensive positioning against trade headwinds, with management emphasizing manageable direct tariff impacts.

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