financetom
Euro-Dollar
financetom
/
Forex
/
Euro-Dollar
/
Dollar Softer On Soft ADP and Labour Cost Reports, NY Bancorp Share Selloff Also Weighs
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Dollar Softer On Soft ADP and Labour Cost Reports, NY Bancorp Share Selloff Also Weighs
Mar 22, 2024 2:18 AM

Image © Adobe Images

The Dollar was softer following the release of U.S. ADP employment data which indicated slowing U.S. employment, adding to dovish Fed rate sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision.

Also contributing to the weaker Dollar was news that a regional lender posted a surprising loss, potentially indicating a cooling economic backdrop.

In addition, some big-name AI stocks missed earnings expectations, in the process undercutting the U.S. exceptionalism narrative that has for so long underpinned Dollar outperformance.

The Pound to Dollar exchange rate firmed above 1.27 as the U.S. trading session proceeded, while the Euro to Dollar exchange rate overturned earlier losses to quote at 1.0846, burnishing the credentials of the 1.020 support zone.

Private sector employment increased by 107K jobs in January, according to the January ADP National Employment Report, which was below the market expectation for 145K and down on December's 158K. Annual pay was up 5.2% year-over-year, down from 5.4% in December.

Also on the docket was the Employment Cost Index, which rose 0.9% in the fourth quarter, making for the smallest quarterly gain in two years.

"With the year-over-year change in the ECI down to 4.2% from over 5% this time last year, the Fed's preferred measure of labour costs is boosting confidence that the reduction in inflation over the past 18 months may be sustained," says Sarah House, an economist at Wells Fargo.

Questions regarding the ongoing robust nature of the U.S. economy were meanwhile raised after shares in New York Community Bancorp fell after the lender reported a surprise loss.

This weighed on smaller lenders, with the KBW Regional Banking Index down nearly 4%.

A pillar of U.S. Dollar strength in the current multi-year cycle has been the exceptional performance of the U.S. economy and its stock markets relative to peers. But this exceptionalism was further queried midweek as the Nasdaq Composite fell after sharp downward moves in shares of tech giants Microsoft and Alphabet.

Track the USD and GBP with your own custom rate alerts. Set Up Here

Shares of Alphabet dropped more than 6% and were on pace for their worst day since Oct. 25 as disappointing ad revenue overshadowed better-than-expected earnings and sales.

Shares in Microsoft and AMD slipped 1.3% and 3%, respectively, on lower-than-expected forward guidance after posting quarterly results.

The developments could offer the Federal Reserve a reason to steer the market towards a future of lower interest rates later today.

Though no rate change is expected, traders will be attentive to post-announcement comments by Fed Chair Jerome Powell for hints at the path and timing of expected rate cuts in 2024.

Powell may note success in reducing inflation and a vibrant U.S. economy, though with inflation stalled in the 3% area since June 2023, he may be reluctant to signal an early pivot to lower rates until progress to the Fed's 2% target resumes, which may underpin the Dollar.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
The EURUSD price rebounds from the resistance – Forecast today - 05-04-2024
The EURUSD price rebounds from the resistance – Forecast today - 05-04-2024
Apr 4, 2024
EURUSD Price Analysis Expected Scenario The EURUSD price bounced bearishly after testing 1.0860$ level, which formed solid resistance against the price, pushing it to decline in the upcoming sessions, on its way to test 1.0765$ as the next main station. Therefore, the bearish bias will be suggested for today, supported by stochastic current negativity. Breaching 1.0860$ will stop the negative...
The EURUSD price forecast update - 05-04-2024
The EURUSD price forecast update - 05-04-2024
Apr 5, 2024
Expected Scenarios Scenario 1: Bearish Trend The EURUSD price hovers around the 1.0840$ level, waiting for negative motive. Expectation of resuming the bearish trend with stability below 1.0860$. Main awaited target is at 1.0765$. Scenario 2: Bullish Wave Breaching 1.0860$ will stop the bearish trend and push the price to build a bullish wave. Next target: 1.0960$. Expected trading range...
The EURUSD price negotiates the resistance – Forecast today - 09-04-2024
The EURUSD price negotiates the resistance – Forecast today - 09-04-2024
Apr 8, 2024
EURUSD Price Analysis Expected Scenario The EURUSD price continues to fluctuate around the 1.0860$ level, maintaining its stability below it for now. The stochastic indicator is in the overbought areas, indicating potential motivation for the price to resume the expected bearish trend on the intraday basis, with a target of 1.0765$ as the first station. On the other hand, breaching...
The EURUSD price loses momentum – Forecast today - 08-04-2024
The EURUSD price loses momentum – Forecast today - 08-04-2024
Apr 8, 2024
EURUSD Price Analysis Expected Scenario The EURUSD price returns to test the key resistance 1.084$ after the clear decline that it witnessed in the previous sessions, noticing that stochastic loses the positive momentum clearly, approaching the overbought areas, waiting to motivate the price to resume the expected bearish trend on the intraday basis, which targets testing 1.0765$ as a next...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved