financetom
Euro-Dollar
financetom
/
Forex
/
Euro-Dollar
/
Euro Rallies on Surging Economic Comeback
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Euro Rallies on Surging Economic Comeback
Mar 22, 2024 2:18 AM

Image © Adobe Stock

The message from the April Purchasing Manager Survey (PMI) is clear: the Eurozone economy is rallying back in a strong fashion thanks to a rebound in the bloc's services sector.

The headline Eurozone composite PMI read at 54.4 in April, breezing past expectations for 53.7 and representing an improvement on the previous month's reading of 53.7.

According to S&P Global, compilers of the widely respected PMI survey series, Eurozone business activity growth accelerated to an 11-month high in April.

The services PMI registered a blow-out 56.6, exceeding estimates for 54.5 and accelerating on March's 55.

This leaves little doubt that the European Central Bank (ECB) will hike interest rates in May and potentially again at subsequent meetings.

The Euro to Pound exchange rate rose a quarter of a per cent to 0.8838, the Euro to Dollar exchange rate was as low as 1.0940 ahead of the release and rallied to 1.0970 in the minutes following.

S&P Global says the upturn was driven by reviving demand and was accompanied by "the largest increase in employment for nearly a year."

On the face of it, ECB interest rate hikes are therefore not registering on demand and this could mean the bloc's core inflation level remains elevated for longer unless further rate hikes are delivered.

Expectations for further hikes underpin Eurozone bond yields and this is driving inflows of foreign investor capital, confirmed yesterday by the region's most recent Balance of Payments figures.

HSBC's economists expect the economic picture to improve further and further widen the current account surplus.

"This should underpin further upside for EUR-USD," says Dominic Bunning, a foreign exchange strategist at HSBC. "It is hard to argue that the EUR is too elevated. We continue to see a further rally to 1.15 in the months ahead."

A potential 'fly in the ointment' was the ongoing malaise in Eurozone manufacturing with the PMI for April reading at 45.5, consistent with contraction.

This is worse than the 45.5 the market was expecting and is down on the previous month's 47.3.

Germany is of particular concern as the German manufacturing PMI read at 44 in April, but it was the German services PMI at 55.7 that lifted the composite into growth territory at 53.9.

Smaller banner

GBP/EUR Forecasts Q2 2023

Period: Q2 2023 Onwards
Details: Consensus institutional forecast targets + max & min targets.
Contributors: Citi, Barclays, Morgan Stanley & more
Provider: Global Reach
Type: Free Download

Please Access Here

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
The EURUSD price breaches the resistance – Forecast today - 26-04-2024
The EURUSD price breaches the resistance – Forecast today - 26-04-2024
Apr 26, 2024
EURUSD Price Analysis Expected Scenario The EURUSD price ended yesterday above the 1.0715$ level, paving the way to build a bullish wave on the intraday basis. Our first target is located at 1.0795$, with a note that breaching this level will push the price towards 1.0875$ as the next positive station. The bullish bias will be suggested in the upcoming...
Wall Street IG Client Sentiment: Our data shows traders are now net
Wall Street IG Client Sentiment: Our data shows traders are now net
Apr 25, 2024
Number of traders net-short has decreased by 20.36% from last week. SYMBOLTRADING BIASNET-LONG%NET-SHORT%CHANGE IN LONGSCHANGE IN SHORTSCHANGE IN OI Wall Street BEARISH 53.72% 46.28% 50.17% Daily34.44% Weekly -21.07% Daily-20.36% Weekly 5.93% Daily1.97% Weekly Wall Street Bearish Data provided by of clients are net long. of clients are net short. Change in Longs Shorts OI Daily 50% -21% 6% Weekly 34%...
Euro Outlook – EUR/USD and EUR/GBP Technical Analysis and Sentiment Latest
Euro Outlook – EUR/USD and EUR/GBP Technical Analysis and Sentiment Latest
Apr 24, 2024
EUR/USD and EUR/GBP Technical Analysis and Sentiment, and Prices EUR/USD – The recent rally looks tired.EUR/GBP – Volatility on both sides.You can download our Q2 Euro Technical and Fundamental Reports for free below: Recommended by Nick Cawley Get Your Free EUR Forecast The Euro has pushed higher against both the US dollar and the British Pound over the last few...
The EURUSD price needs negative motive – Forecast today - 25-04-2024
The EURUSD price needs negative motive – Forecast today - 25-04-2024
Apr 25, 2024
Expected Price Scenarios The EURUSD price continues to fluctuate near 1.0715$ level, still below it, keeping the bearish trend scenario valid. The target for the bearish trend is testing 1.0615$ as a first station, with a reminder that breaking this level will push the price towards 1.0520$. Breaching 1.0715$ will stop the suggested bearish wave and lead the price to...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved