financetom
Euro-Dollar
financetom
/
Forex
/
Euro-Dollar
/
Euro-Dollar Now 1.0% Undervalued: ING
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Euro-Dollar Now 1.0% Undervalued: ING
Mar 22, 2024 2:18 AM

Image © Adobe Images

ING Bank's foreign exchange strategy team say the Euro is now 1.0% undervalued relative to the Dollar but a recovery is not necessarily close at hand.

"We currently estimate EUR/USD’s fair value at 1.0650, meaning that the pair is around 1% undervalued to its market drivers, below its 1.5 standard deviation and does not suggest an imminent upward correction," says Francesco Pesole, FX Strategist at ING.

The Euro to Dollar exchange rate has fallen 6.5% to 1.0550 having seen a 2023 peak at 1.1275, reached in July.

"EUR/USD can slip back below 1.0500 even in the event of a consensus read in US payrolls today," says Pesole.

The Dollar's appreciation has stalled this week as long-dated bond yields pull back from recent highs and oil prices drop sharply and ease concerns of another commodity-lead inflationary impulse.

"However, with the interest rate outlook still uncertain, today's important U.S. labour market data could have a significant impact if they stray significantly from expectations," says Rhys Herbert, an economist at Lloyds Bank.

The labour market report is released at 13:30 BST with the consensus looking for a 170K reading, down on August's 187K. An average hourly earnings increase of 0.3% is expected while the unemployment rate is expected to be at 3.7%.

ING looks for an on-consensus reading to consolidate the 'higher for longer' expectation for U.S. interest rates, a key driver of the Dollar's recent rally.

Meanwhile, the Eurozone's economic calendar is quiet and European Central Bank (ECB) speakers are failing to impact markets.

Villeroy sounded dovish yesterday, saying he hopes hikes are over, and we’ll hear from Klaas Knot, Bostjan Vasle, Boris Vujcic and Peter Kazimir today.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
EURUSD moves in a limited range -Analysis-28-04-2025
EURUSD moves in a limited range -Analysis-28-04-2025
May 25, 2025
The EURUSD price settled on a slight decline in its recent intraday trading, due to the continuous negative pressure from its trading below EMA50, to keep moving in limited range of tight sideways trading, holding above 1.1310 support, taking advantage from the emergence of the positive signals on the (RSI). This came because of the domination of a bearish correctional...
EURUSD surrenders to the negative pressure-Analysis-25-04-2025
EURUSD surrenders to the negative pressure-Analysis-25-04-2025
May 25, 2025
The EURUSD declined in its recent intraday trading, affected by the continuous negative pressure due to its stability below the EMA50, accompanied with a negative technical formation that completed previously on the short-term basis, which is the rising wedge pattern. Additionally, the emergence of negative overlapping signals on the (RSI), after reaching exaggerated overbought levels compared to the price movement,...
EURUSD suffers from negative pressure -Analysis-08-05-2025
EURUSD suffers from negative pressure -Analysis-08-05-2025
May 25, 2025
The EURUSD declined in its recent intraday trading, with the emergence of the negative signals on the (RSI), after reaching overbought levels previously, to surpass the support of its EMA50, which increases the negative pressure on its upcoming trading. The last decline led the price to settle again below 1.1340, which reinforces the negative scenario amid the dominance of the...
EURUSD suffers from negative pressures-Analysis-24-04-2025
EURUSD suffers from negative pressures-Analysis-24-04-2025
May 25, 2025
The EURUSD settled bearishly in its recent intraday trading, affected by the technical formation negativity, which was formed previously on the short- term basis, represented by the rising wedge pattern, which causes correctional pressures on the price. The continuation of the trading below EMA50, besides the emergence of weakness signals from the (RSI), after offloading some of the exaggerated oversold...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved