financetom
Pound-Dollar
financetom
/
Forex
/
Pound-Dollar
/
How Low Can the Pound-Dollar Rate Go? Society of Technical Analysts Answers
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
How Low Can the Pound-Dollar Rate Go? Society of Technical Analysts Answers
Mar 22, 2024 2:18 AM

"While below there, we can only assume more pain for the Pound" - Karen Jones, Society of Technical Analysts.

Image © Adobe Images

As the energy crisis and the lack of government continue to take bites out of the British Pound, we are taking a look at the charts to see if they will give an idea of how far the Pound will fall.

First up is Sterling against the mighty US Dollar.

Sterling sinking against the US Dollar is not a recent event - this bear trend has been in place since 2007, but the pace of the down move is gaining momentum and has been doing so for much of the year.

The market peaked at 1.4250 in June 2021 and has now fallen nearly 19% from that high.

The first obvious support is the 1.1410 2020 low followed by the support line from 1993 coming in around the 1.1100 mark.

Fibonacci extensions, from the 2007 peak and the 2014 peak, cluster at 1.1190/70.

The monthly RSI is low at 19, but it has been lower and currently is just confirming the trend.

Above: Pound to Dollar rate shown at monthly intervals.

The 9-period daily RSI is low at 22, but it has been lower, and so far, is showing no signs of divergence.

On the topside the July low at 1.1760 offers initial resistance, but the 55-day ma at 1.2021, the cloud resistance spanning between approximately 1.2200 and recent high at 1.2293 offer a dense overhead resistance band.

While below there, we can only assume more pain for the Pound.

Above: Pound to Dollar rate shown at daily intervals.

Just as interesting is what is happening on the EUR/GBP chart, which has the .8721 June high in its sights. This is also the approximate location of the 55-month ma at .8715.

This moving average held the up move in June, and we would treat a close above here as likely to trigger another attempt on the resistance above 0.9200 that has managed to keep the Euro in check since 2016.

The Monthly chart also shows that the 200-month ma held the downside beautifully in March 2022.

Above: Euro to Pound rate shown at daily intervals.

Disclaimer:

The information posted on Pound Sterling Live is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Pound Sterling Live only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
GBPUSD receives positive push -Analysis-23-04-2025
GBPUSD receives positive push -Analysis-23-04-2025
May 25, 2025
the GBPUSD rose in its recent intraday trading, after it declined yesterday, attempting to look for a rising bottom to take it as a base that might help it to gain the required positive momentum to recover, to approach in its last trading from leaning on the support of the EMA50, which forms positive pressure that pushed the price to...
GBPUSD shows negative behavior -Analysis-28-04-2025
GBPUSD shows negative behavior -Analysis-28-04-2025
May 25, 2025
The GBPUSD price declined in its recent intraday trading, to test the support of its EMA50, which provides temporary stability amid the dominance of a bearish correctional wave on a short- term basis. This performance came after the appearance of a reversing negative technical formation for the main bullish trend, which is the head and shoulders pattern, where the price...
GBPUSD attempts to offload its overbought conditions -Analysis-25-04-2025
GBPUSD attempts to offload its overbought conditions -Analysis-25-04-2025
May 25, 2025
The GBPUSD declined in its recent intraday trading, in a correctional move that targets catching breaths after an intraday bullish wave, the price attempts to offload the clear overbought condition in the (RSI), easing the way for regaining its positive momentum. This move comes amid the continuation of the trading above EMA50, which reinforces the chances for its recovery again...
GBPUSD gets advantages from the support-Analysis-24-04-2025
GBPUSD gets advantages from the support-Analysis-24-04-2025
May 25, 2025
The GBPUSD rose in its last intraday trading, amid the price attempts to form rising low that might form a technical support base that help it to regain the required positive momentum to complete its bullish track. This rebound is supported by the price lean on the EMA50, which reinforces the chances for recovery, besides the continuation of the dominant...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved