financetom
Pound-Dollar
financetom
/
Forex
/
Pound-Dollar
/
Pound to Dollar Rate Hits A 10-Week Best, Move Looking Overdone
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Pound to Dollar Rate Hits A 10-Week Best, Move Looking Overdone
Mar 22, 2024 2:18 AM

Image © Adobe Images

Pound Sterling has strengthened to its best level for Dollar buyers in ten weeks as broad-based weakness in the Dollar extends, but the move is starting to look overextended according to one analyst we follow.

The Dollar has come under pressure through November as a "narrative set in that the Federal Reserve is likely done hiking interest rates and may even begin cutting rates as early as the spring," according to Shane Strowmatt, an analyst at LGT Bank in Switzerland. "Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasuries fell below the 4.4% mark while the dollar was hovering around 2-month lows versus other major currencies."

The Pound to Dollar exchange rate rose to 1.2540 on Tuesday, a level not seen since September 11.

The selloff in the Dollar is the engine propelling Pound-Dollar strength, and the outlook for the pair remains dependent on expectations regarding U.S. Federal Reserve policy, U.S. economic performance and positioning.

Boris Kovacevic, Global Macro Strategist at Convera, says three developments have been responsible for the U.S. dollar weakening and global stocks pushing higher in recent weeks.

G3 central banks decided not to raise interest rates at their last meetings.Signs are emerging that the U.S. labour market is cooling.U.S., Eurozone and UK inflation surprising to the downside in October."Last week's economic data continued adding fuel to investors’ speculations that the cooling of the U.S. economy will stop the Federal Reserve from raising interest rates," says Covacevic.

The market will remain on the lookout for signs that the U.S. economy continues to slow, which can underscore the Dollar selloff.

Above: GBPUSD at daily intervals. Track GBPUSD with your own custom rate alerts. Set Up Here.

However, any upside surprises in future economic releases could boost expectations for Fed rate cuts challenged, boosting U.S. yields and the Dollar.

Yet this is a quiet week for the U.S. with no major data releases and the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday cutting the week short, meaning there is limited opportunity for a narrative switch back in favour of the Dollar.

This hints that further GBPUSD upside is possible in the near term.

"Today’s eco calendar is extremely thin, with Minutes of the previous Fed meeting and ECB comments the sole highlights. They aren't expected to change the underlying market drift," says Mathias Van der Jeugt, an analyst at KBC Bank.

But Mark Haefele, a strategist at UBS, says the "U.S. dollar sell-off looks overdone."

"Further significant US dollar weakening would require a sharp narrowing in the economic growth and interest rate gap between the US and the rest of the world, in our view. We don’t see this happening imminently, so we think the USD market reaction may be overdone," he explains.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
The GBPUSD price attacks the resistance - Forecast today - 18-06-2024
The GBPUSD price attacks the resistance - Forecast today - 18-06-2024
Jun 18, 2024
GBPUSD Price Analysis Expected Scenario The GBPUSD price attempted to breach the $1.2700 level, but it returns to decline by todays open to keep the chances valid to continue yesterdays suggested negative scenario, which targets $1.2580 areas as a next main station. Moving below the EMA50 supports the continuation of the expected bearish trend, noting that breaching $1.2700 will stop...
The GBPUSD price gets a positive close - Forecast today - 19-06-2024
The GBPUSD price gets a positive close - Forecast today - 19-06-2024
Jun 19, 2024
GBPUSD Price Analysis Expected Scenario The GBPUSD price ended yesterday above 1.2700$ level, hinting at a potential recovery, but faces negative pressure from the EMA50, which could lead to a decline. Therefore, it is preferable to stay aside until clearer signals for the next trend emerge. Continuation of the rise and breaching 1.2730$ will likely push the price to build...
The GBPUSD price awaits confirmation signal - Forecast today - 20-06-2024
The GBPUSD price awaits confirmation signal - Forecast today - 20-06-2024
Jun 20, 2024
GBPUSD Price Analysis Current Situation The GBPUSD price is still stuck between key levels represented by 1.2700$ support and 1.2730$ resistance. As mentioned yesterday, the price needs to breach one of these levels to determine its next direction clearly, keeping our neutrality valid for now. Key Levels and Targets Breaking below the support at 1.2700$ will put the price under...
BoE holds interest rates unchanged
BoE holds interest rates unchanged
Jun 20, 2024
The Bank of England voted to hold interest rates unchanged at the June 20 policy meeting for the seventh meeting in a row at 5.25%, the highest since March 2008, matching analysts expectations. ...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved