financetom
Pound-Dollar
financetom
/
Forex
/
Pound-Dollar
/
Pound-Dollar Looks for A Santa Upswing
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Pound-Dollar Looks for A Santa Upswing
Mar 22, 2024 2:18 AM

Image © Adobe Images

Pound Sterling could be set for further gains against the Dollar into year-end with one market professional saying the stage looks set for a 'Santa Rally'.

"Santa Rallies, a phenomenon observed during the holiday season, have intrigued and captivated investors for decades," says Nigel Green, CEO of de Vere Group, the financial services provider.

"Historically, these year-end surges often reflect an optimistic and festive market sentiment," he explains.

The Pound is a pro-cyclical 'risk on' currency relative to the Dollar, meaning it tends to advance in value when market sentiment is buoyant, as would be the case in a Santa Rally.

The Dollar, which has a negative correlation with rising stock markets, would be tipped to fall under such a scenario.

In October, Green predicted that "we’re about to see a year-end rally, which investors would not want to miss out on."

This call has proven accurate, with the Pound to Dollar exchange rate rising in tandem with a stock market rally, advancing 3.87% in November to close the month at 1.2623.

Track GBPUSD with your own custom rate alerts. Set Up Here.

At the start of December, Green says he now expects the momentum to continue. "It’s likely we’ll see markets experience a Santa Rally taking us to the end of 2023."

de Vere Group attributes a surge in stocks to a plummet in bond yields that's been triggered by increasing signals that central banks, including the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank, among others, are done for now with their rate hiking agendas.

Notable examples of Santa Rallies include December 1991, where positive developments in the Gulf War and easing tensions contributed to a market upswing.

In 2018, despite a challenging year, markets experienced a late-year surge attributed to positive trade developments between the US and China.

"The signals are for a Santa Rally as we expect the markets to have steadily more momentum to the end of 2023," says Green.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
BOE cuts interest rates to 2023 lows
BOE cuts interest rates to 2023 lows
Aug 7, 2025
The Bank of England on Thursday announced its interest rate decision following the August 7 meeting, cutting rates by 25 basis points to a range of 4.00% the lowest level since February 2023. The move was in line with market expectations and marks the third rate cut by the Bank of England this year. ...
Surprising Bank of England vote tally
Surprising Bank of England vote tally
Aug 7, 2025
The Bank of England on Thursday released details of the interest rate vote following the August 7 meeting, showing that 5 members voted in favor of a 25 basis point rate cut, while 4 members voted to keep rates unchanged. The vote outcome contradicted market expectations, which had anticipated that 8 members would support a 25 basis point cut, with...
Sterling shines after bullish BOE meeting
Sterling shines after bullish BOE meeting
Aug 7, 2025
The British pound rose with the opening of the European market on Friday against a basket of global currencies, extending its gains for the sixth consecutive day against the US dollar and recording its highest level in two weeks, on the verge of achieving a weekly gain, thanks to the hawkish monetary policy meeting of the Bank of England. The...
The GBPUSD attempts to offload its oversold conditions -Analysis-01-08-2025
The GBPUSD attempts to offload its oversold conditions -Analysis-01-08-2025
Jul 31, 2025
The (GBPUSD) price rose slightly in its last intraday trading, attempting to recover some of its previous losses, and offloading some of its oversold conditions on the (RSI), especially with the emergence of the positive signals, amid the dominance of the main bearish trend on the short-term basis and its trading alongside main and minor bias lines, indicating the volume...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved