financetom
Pound-Dollar
financetom
/
Forex
/
Pound-Dollar
/
Scope for More GBP/USD Upside Near-term says Analyst
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Scope for More GBP/USD Upside Near-term says Analyst
Mar 22, 2024 2:18 AM

Above: GBP/USD chart courtesy of The Technical Trader.

The British Pound could be on course to register further gains following a strong turnaround over recent hours, according to analysts.

The Pound fell to lows below 1.19 on Friday before jumping back above the key $1.20 level following the release of some surprising U.S. data that suggested growth in the world's largest economy was starting to slow notably.

"The U.S. dollar started the week on the back foot, losing ground to other major currencies and approaching December’s lows. Investors have started pricing in a less aggressive stance from the Federal Reserve, following the release of jobs numbers on Friday that showed that, albeit unhurriedly, the US economy is starting to slow down," says Ricardo Evangelista, Senior Analyst at ActivTrades.

The Pound to Dollar exchange rate (GBP/USD) fell to 1.1840 on Friday before rallying and closing the day at 1.2090 as it hitched a ride in a broader global equity market rally.

Ongoing positive investor sentiment means the pair was able to extend the advance to 1.2188 on January 09 and further advances over the coming days could depend on whether the supportive background mood music persists.

"Sentiment shifted significantly on Friday following the release of the US jobs data and the UK currency rebounded with a gain of 1%. The net result is that it ended the foreshortened week with a fractional loss, and Friday’s price action implies that there might be scope for further upside," says Bill McNamara, analyst and founder of The Technical Trader.

U.S. labour market statistics showed a continued trend of ever-smaller increases in the number of jobs being created by the economy while a noticeable slowdown in hourly earnings growth was also registered.

"Against this background, the consensus is that when the Fed next meets in February it will decide on a 25 basis points rate hike, rather than the 50 or 75 bp delivered at each of the last six meetings," says Evangelista.

Therefore, a counterintuitive situation exists where bad news on the economy is good news for markets.

"This is scenario that is bearish for the US dollar, especially considering the improvement in risk appetite, following the reopening of China, which has also dimmed the greenback’s haven appeal," he adds.

McNamara says that for GBP/USD, "a close above 1.21 would look short-term bullish and would clear the way for a run back up to around 1.225".

"If that is exceeded for any reason, the next target would then be the recent intermediate high, at 1.242," he adds.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
GBPUSD attempts to offload its overbought conditions -Analysis-25-04-2025
GBPUSD attempts to offload its overbought conditions -Analysis-25-04-2025
May 25, 2025
The GBPUSD declined in its recent intraday trading, in a correctional move that targets catching breaths after an intraday bullish wave, the price attempts to offload the clear overbought condition in the (RSI), easing the way for regaining its positive momentum. This move comes amid the continuation of the trading above EMA50, which reinforces the chances for its recovery again...
GBPUSD shows negative behavior -Analysis-28-04-2025
GBPUSD shows negative behavior -Analysis-28-04-2025
May 25, 2025
The GBPUSD price declined in its recent intraday trading, to test the support of its EMA50, which provides temporary stability amid the dominance of a bearish correctional wave on a short- term basis. This performance came after the appearance of a reversing negative technical formation for the main bullish trend, which is the head and shoulders pattern, where the price...
GBPUSD receives positive push -Analysis-23-04-2025
GBPUSD receives positive push -Analysis-23-04-2025
May 25, 2025
the GBPUSD rose in its recent intraday trading, after it declined yesterday, attempting to look for a rising bottom to take it as a base that might help it to gain the required positive momentum to recover, to approach in its last trading from leaning on the support of the EMA50, which forms positive pressure that pushed the price to...
GBPUSD gets advantages from the support-Analysis-24-04-2025
GBPUSD gets advantages from the support-Analysis-24-04-2025
May 25, 2025
The GBPUSD rose in its last intraday trading, amid the price attempts to form rising low that might form a technical support base that help it to regain the required positive momentum to complete its bullish track. This rebound is supported by the price lean on the EMA50, which reinforces the chances for recovery, besides the continuation of the dominant...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved