financetom
Euro-Dollar
financetom
/
Forex
/
Euro-Dollar
/
Slip in Euro-Dollar Following French GDP is an Invitation to Buyers: Westpac
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Slip in Euro-Dollar Following French GDP is an Invitation to Buyers: Westpac
Mar 22, 2024 2:17 AM

Image © Adobe Stock.

EUR/USD reference rates at publication:Spot: 1.2197Bank transfers (indicative guide): 1.1769-1.1855Money transfer specialist rates (indicative): 1.2086-1.2111More information on securing specialist rates, hereSet up an exchange rate alert, hereStrategists at Westpac have said they are now buyers of the Euro against the Dollar, owing to a slip in the exchange rate in the wake of French GDP numbers.

The Euro-to-Dollar exchange rate was seen trading as low as 1.2170 ahead of the weekend, fulfilling an entry target ordered by Westpac at 1.2175.

Telling clients conditions for a 'buy' on the Euro were met, Richard Franulovich, Head of FX Strategy, says the pullback in the Euro was triggered to a degree by disappointing data out of France.

The French economy contracted 0.1% in the first quarter of 2021 according to a final estimate from the country's official statistics agency, ensuring the country officially suffered a recession in the first quarter of the year.

The market was taken somewhat by surprise, as the initial estimate for French GDP was for growth of 0.4%.

Sentiment towards the French economy and the Euro were not helped by additional data that showed household spending fell 8.3% in April.

Above: The Euro dips and bounces on May 28.

Secure a retail exchange rate that is between 3-5% stronger than offered by leading banks, learn more.

But the outlook for the French economy in the second half of 2021 is certainly a great deal brighter and sentiment towards the Euro is likely to remain robust, making Westpac buyers of the single-currency.

"The rapid increase in vaccination roll-outs is aiding a more rapid reopening of the economy," says Franulovich. "Recent surveys support for a strong pick up in activity in 2H 2021 which should gain further impetus from the eventual distribution of Recovery Funds."

Economist Samuel Abettan at ING says the recovery is finally ready to take off in France, "the economic recovery in France should be one of the strongest in the eurozone."

{wbamp-hide start}

Smaller banner

EUR/USD Forecasts Q2 2023

Period: Q2 2023 Onwards
Details: Consensus institutional forecast targets + max & min targets.
Contributors: Citi, Barclays, Morgan Stanley & more
Provider: Global Reach Partners
Type: Free Download

Please Access Here
{wbamp-hide end}{wbamp-show start}{wbamp-show end}ING economists expect a return to pre-crisis levels of activity to take place by the end of 2022, even if the evolution of the health situation remains the determining variable.

ING are expecting consumer spendings in France to come back strongly during the summer period and with the launch of the sales.

Beyond the consumer, ING says French construction and industry are also benefiting from a favourable economic climate with order books filling up.

"The production outlook for these sectors remains favourable, despite short term supply-side issues (shortages of raw materials including electronic chips, higher freight prices, difficulties in hiring in some sectors)," says Abettan.

ING anticipate further upward pressures on prices for all these reasons, reflected already in the harmonised consumer price index (CPI), where inflation increased by 1.8% year-on-year in May.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Euro extends gains to a three-month high on the rate gap prospects
Euro extends gains to a three-month high on the rate gap prospects
Jun 4, 2024
Euro rose on Tuesday against a basket of major rivals, extending gains for the fourth straight session against the dollar and surpassing $1.09 to a three-month high on hopes of shrinking the US-eurozone interest rate gap this year. The European Central Bank prepares to cut European interest rates for the first time since 2024, in the first step of policy...
The EURUSD price breaches the resistance – Forecast today - 04-06-2024
The EURUSD price breaches the resistance – Forecast today - 04-06-2024
Jun 3, 2024
Price Analysis: EURUSD Expected Scenario The EURUSD price continued to rise to breach 1.0895$ level and close the daily candlestick above it, to stop the correctional bearish scenario and head towards resuming the main bullish trend within the bullish channel that appears on the chart, on its way to achieve additional gains that reach 1.1015$ as a next main station....
Euro resumes gains ahead of the ECB meeting
Euro resumes gains ahead of the ECB meeting
Jun 5, 2024
Euro rose in European trade on Wednesday against a basket of main currencies, resuming gains against the dollar and approaching three-month highs as the ECB commences its policy meeting. The ECB is set to cut interest rates for the first time since 2014 in the first step of monetary easing in Europe, but the process might be slower than previously...
The EURUSD price tests the channel’s support line – Forecast today - 05-06-2024
The EURUSD price tests the channel’s support line – Forecast today - 05-06-2024
Jun 4, 2024
EURUSD Price Analysis Expected Scenario The EURUSD price tested the bullish channels support line and attempted to break it yesterday, but it closed the daily candlestick above it, to keep the bullish trend scenario valid and active for the upcoming period, waiting to resume the bullish wave that its next target located at 1.1015$. Stochastic overlaps positively now to motivate...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved