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Dollar gains most in eight years
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Euro set for biggest drop since 2016
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Tariff-sensitive assets plunge
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Mexican peso drops
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Bitcoin roars to record
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US stock futures surge
(Updates with comments in paragraphs 15-16, adds graphics,
refreshes prices at 1315 GMT)
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, Nov 6 (Reuters) - Donald Trump's rapid
confirmation as the next U.S. president unleashed the biggest
one-day rally in the dollar in eight years and lifted stocks, as
investors bet tariffs on imports and tax cuts could benefit U.S.
business.
U.S. stock futures rallied by almost the most in a year,
while the dollar was set for its largest one-day jump since
2016. Bitcoin hit record highs and Treasuries were battered.
Trump's pledges to raise tariffs, cut taxes and slash
regulations encouraged investors to dive into a range of assets
that looked likely to benefit from such policies.
Markets that could suffer under tougher tariffs, including
those in some of the United States' major trading partners, bore
the brunt of the sell-off, pushing the Mexican peso to
its lowest in over two years, while the euro was set
for its largest one-day drop since the Brexit vote in 2016.
Adding to the confidence in markets was Republicans winning
control of the U.S. Senate, ensuring Trump's party will control
at least one chamber of Congress next year, part of a potential
so-called "Red sweep".
"It's extremely early days to be drawing conclusions about
what a Trump presidency and potential clean sweep might mean for
the U.S. and global economy and financial markets. Certainly,
higher tariffs would involve greater inflation and less world
trade growth," said Philip Shaw, chief economist at Investec.
"With stocks, one of the primary drivers is Trump's promise
to reduce corporate taxes for companies that make goods in
America. And obviously, we've seen a big increase in U.S. stock
futures and that's carried through to European markets as well."
European stocks rallied, led by defence shares and banks,
while renewable energy shares dropped.
The election could have far-reaching implications for tax
and trade policy, as well as U.S. institutions. The outcome
affects assets globally and could determine the outlook for U.S.
debt, the longer-term strength of the dollar and a host of
industries that make up the backbone of corporate America.
INTEREST RATES SEEN HIGHER
"The consequence is a higher path of rates," said Nick
Ferres, chief investment officer at Vantage Point Asset
Management in Singapore. He was buying bank shares in
anticipation that higher yields and stronger growth would
benefit their earnings.
Investors sold U.S. Treasuries, partly on the expectation
that higher tariffs would inevitably filter through to consumer
prices, but also because Trump's promises on spending risk
worsening the government's finances.
"Next year will be a year in which there'll be a lot of
discussion in terms of fiscal issues in the United States,"
Moelis ( MC ) Vice Chairman and Managing Director Eric Cantor told a
conference in Abu Dhabi on Wednesday as the election results
were trickling in.
Meanwhile, shares in Trump Media and Technology Group ( DJT )
surged in premarket trading, while those in Tesla
, headed by Trump supporter Elon Musk, jumped nearly
13%.
Bitcoin surged to a record high, betting on a softer line on
cryptocurrency regulation.
"With Trump's victory, you'll get much stronger fiscal
policies compared to what might have been under a Democratic
administration. This will have repercussions for inflation, and
you can see that already with this morning's rise in Treasury
yields," Andrea Scauri, a Swiss-based senior portfolio manager
at Lemanik, said.
"So, who benefits from all of this? I think old-economy
sectors, like oil, drilling, mechanical, and heavy industry,
will benefit. And probably also tech, as the American consumers
will have more money in their pockets, they might spend it on
new phones, TVs, or invest in the stock market."
The results so far suggested markets had gained clarity
faster than in 2020, when Joe Biden was announced the victor
some four days after election night.
"That's what markets have been most worried about, that
there would be a long, drawn-out fight over who won," said Jamie
Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group.
(Additional reporting by Lewis Krauskopf, Suzanne McGee,
Michelle Conlin, Nupur Anand, Chibuike Oguh, Noel Randwich,
Saqib Ahmed, Saeed Azhar, Caroline Valetkevitch, Tom Westbrook,
Kevin Buckland, Megan Davies, Douglas Gillison, Carolina Mandl,
Lananh Nguyen, Danilo Masoni, Sinead Cruise and Alex Cornwell;
Writing by Michelle Price and Amanda Cooper; Graphics by Pasit
Kongkunakornkul, Vineet Sachdev and Sumanta Sen; Editing by
Paritosh Bansal, Sam Holmes, Peter Graff and Sharon Singleton)