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BOJ won't hike rates when markets unstable, Uchida says
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Market volatility could 'obviously' affect BOJ rate
decisions
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Uchida's remarks boost Nikkei, send yen falling
(Adds analyst quotes, Uchida's comment in 10-11, 15-18th
paragraphs)
By Leika Kihara
HAKODATE, Japan, Aug 7 (Reuters) - The Bank of Japan's
influential deputy governor said on Wednesday the central bank
won't hike interest rates when markets are unstable, playing
down the chance of a near-term hike in borrowing costs.
The remarks by Shinichi Uchida, which contrasted with
Governor Kazuo Ueda's hawkish comments made last week when the
BOJ unexpectedly raised interest rates, boosted Japan's Nikkei
share average and sent the yen sharply lower.
Uchida said the intense market volatility in the past week
could "obviously" change the BOJ's rate hike path if it affects
the central bank's economic and price projections and the
likelihood of Japan durably achieving its 2% inflation target.
"As we're seeing sharp volatility in domestic and overseas
financial markets, it's necessary to maintain current levels of
monetary easing for the time being," Uchida said in a speech to
business leaders in the northern Japanese city of Hakodate.
The recent strengthening of the yen would affect the BOJ's
policy decision-making because it reduces upward pressure on
import prices, and therefore overall inflation, Uchida said.
Stock market volatility would also influence its decisions
by affecting corporate activity and consumption, he added.
"Unlike U.S. and European central banks, we're not in a
situation where we would end up being behind the curve unless we
hike interest rates at a set pace," Uchida said.
"We won't raise interest rates when financial markets are
unstable," Uchida said.
The dollar surged to a session high of 147.50 yen
and was last up 1.6% at 146.59 after Uchida's remarks. The
Nikkei average climbed 3%, while the benchmark 10-year
Japanese government bond (JGB) yield fell 1 basis
point to 0.875%.
"The BOJ hiked interest rates because it didn't like the
weak yen. Now, it appears to be suggesting a pause in rate hikes
because it doesn't like stocks falling," said Takuya Kanda, an
analyst at Gaitame.com Research Institute.
"If the BOJ is watching markets so much in setting
policy, there's a chance it won't be able to raise rates that
much."
U.S. OUTLOOK KEY
Last week, the BOJ raised interest rates to levels unseen in
15 years and unveiled a detailed plan to slow its massive bond
buying, taking another step towards phasing out a decade of huge
stimulus.
Governor Ueda said the BOJ will keep raising rates if the
economy and prices move in line with its projection, signalling
the chance of steady hikes in coming years.
The hawkish remarks, as well as weak U.S. labour data that
stoked fears of recession in the world's largest economy, helped
contribute to a global market rout that sent the yen soaring and
Japan's Nikkei average plunging on Monday.
Markets have whipsawed since then, partly as traders
reassessed the timing and pace of future BOJ rate hikes.
While stressing the need to keep monetary policy loose
for the time being, Uchida said Japan's economy was likely to
keep recovering with the United States seen achieving a soft
landing.
"Uchida's comments are clearly dovish. Unless market
sentiment recovers rapidly, the chance of the BOJ hiking rates
either in September or October is low," said Toru Suehiro, an
economist at Daiwa Securities.
"But if U.S. recession fears subside around year-end,
the BOJ will likely raise rates in December," he said.