By Anna Wlodarczak-Semczuk
WARSAW, Oct 25 (Reuters) - Central European currencies
were weaker on Friday, under pressure from a stronger dollar as
traders bet that the U.S. Federal Reserve will slow rate cuts
and amid uncertainty about the upcoming U.S. presidential
election.
Hungary's forint was trading 0.3% lower on the day
at 403.8 per euro at 0824 GMT, its lowest since Dec. 27, 2022.
Central European currencies are being pressured by a rise in
U.S. Treasury yields and uncertainties surrounding the U.S.
presidential election, an FX trader in Budapest said.
"I think the uncertainties around the American election are
more or less priced in by now. The next step is now the
election, the result could push the dollar in either direction,
and this will affect the region," he said.
"Today's move is not very big so far. Technically, the way
is open for the forint to weaken as far as 405 or 407," a second
FX traders aid.
The dollar got a boost as investors no longer expect an
outsized 50-basis-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve, a
view that is reflected in rising Treasury yields.
The dollar was also supported by anticipation that Donald
Trump could win a second term as U.S. president, as his tax and
tariff policies are considered inflationary, which markets
anticipate would keep U.S. rates high and hit trading partner
currencies.
The forint's weakness forced the National Bank of Hungary to
pause its rate cuts at its meeting on Tuesday.
On Friday, ratings agency Standard and Poor's is expected to
release its review of Hungary's debt ratings and the wait for
that has also kept investors cautious.
The zloty was down 0.1% against the euro at 4.35.
"The EUR/PLN exchange rate is stuck at around 4.34... Today
we do not expect any major changes in the Polish currency. In
our opinion, the macro data calendar does not contain
information that could significantly influence sentiment," Bank
Millennium analysts said in a note.
"The issue of the upcoming presidential elections in the
United States remains the dominant topic in the valuation of
assets in developed markets."
The Czech crown is down 0.16% at 25.24 per euro on
the day and flat for the week.
Rate-setter Jan Prochazka told Reuters the Czech National
Bank can continue easing monetary policy amid weaker growth
abroad and a slow domestic demand recovery, but must be mindful
of inflation hotspots, especially in the services sector.
The Prague bourse was a touch down as shares in Moneta
fell 0.3% after reaching an all-time high on Thursday
following a rise in its profit outlook. The Warsaw blue-chip
index fell 0.5% while Budapest was up 0.9%.
Hungary's pharmaceutical company Richter was up 1%
by 0851 GMT after the company announced a new collaboration with
U.S. pharma company AbbVie late on Thursday for the discovery
and developments of novel targets of neuropsychiatric
conditions.
CEE SNAPSHOT AT 1024 CET
MARKET
S
CURRENCIES
Latest Previo Daily Change
us
trade close change in 2024
EURCZK Czech 0
EURHUF Hungary 00
EURPLN Polish EURRON Romania EURRSD Serbian 00
Note: calculated from 1800 CET
daily
change
Latest Previo Daily Change
us
close change in 2024
.PX Prague 1645.52 1647.6 -0.13% +16.37
900 %
.BUX Budapes 74398.13 73715. +0.93% +22.73
t 29 %
.WIG20 Warsaw 5
.BETI Buchare 16 %
Spread Daily
vs Bund change
in
Czech Republic spread
CZ2YT= 0
CZ5YT= CZ10YT 0
Poland
PL2YT= 0
PL5YT= 0
PL10YT FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS
3x6 6x9 9x12 3M
interba
nk
Czech Hungary Poland Note: are for ask
FRA prices
quotes
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