WARSAW, Nov 26 (Reuters) - The Polish zloty held steady
on Tuesday after further positive data from the domestic
economy, even as emerging market currencies came under pressure
with the prospect of trade tariffs boosting the dollar.
The U.S. dollar rose and investors braced for policies that
could set the stage for trade spats, after President-elect
Donald Trump said he would impose tariffs on products coming
into the United States from Mexico, Canada and China.
Data showed Polish retail sales in constant prices bounced
back with a 1.3% growth year-on-year in October, above analysts'
expectations of 0.8% growth. Industrial production data on
Monday also beat expectations.
The zloty traded sideways at 4.3170 per euro as of
1026 GMT, holding onto gains from Monday.
A Warsaw-based trader said that this week's data was
positive, but it was mostly Poland's stable interest rates and
European Union funds that were propping up the zloty in the face
of pressure from the firming dollar.
"We still have high carry and at the same time we have a
(central) bank that seems to be in no hurry to cut interest
rates."
"Secondly, it's the Ministry of Finance, which probably
still has a lot of euros and will be selling," the trader said,
adding they could in part be traded in the market.
Hungary's forint slid 0.5% to 411.55 per euro,
losing some of its gains from the previous session.
"Markets do not expect anything significant to happen on the
domestic front this year, so what could move the forint till the
end of the year is any steps from the ECB or the Fed, or
something that Trump says," an FX trader in Budapest said.
Hungary's economy minister Marton Nagy said in an interview
late on Monday that the country's economy could grow only by
0.7%-0.8% this year, but is expected to pick up in 2025 and that
"hopefully" the 6.5% base rate can decrease next year.
Nagy also said Prime Minister Viktor Orban could announce
the nominations for the new central bank governor within a few
days.
Hungary's central bank left its base rate steady at the
European Union's joint highest level of 6.5% last week after a
sharp fall in the forint following the re-election of Donald
Trump, whose trade tariff plans could hit central Europe.
Elsewhere, the Czech crown held steady at 25.30
per euro.
CEE MARKETS
SNAPSHOT AT
1126 CET
CURRENCI
ES
Latest Previous Daily Change
trade close change in 2024
Czech 25.3000 25.3025 +0.01% -2.37%
crown
Hungary 411.5500 409.6550 -0.46% -6.89%
forint
Polish 4.3170 4.3187 +0.04% +0.64%
zloty
Romanian 4.9769 4.9776 +0.01% -0.05%
leu
Serbian 116.9000 117.0000 +0.09% +0.30%
dinar
Note: daily change
calculated from 1800
CET
Latest Previous Daily Change
close change in 2024
Prague 1698.33 1679.470 +1.12% +20.11%
0
Budapest 80142.51 79471.58 +0.84% +32.20%
Warsaw 2209.90 2202.76 +0.32% -5.68%
Bucharest 16965.26 16982.34 -0.10% +10.37%
Spread Daily
vs Bund change
in
spread
Czech
Republic
2-year 3.2880 -0.0220 +126bps -4bps
5-year 3.6140 -0.0010 +156bps -1bps
10-year 3.8910 -0.0110 +168bps -2bps
Poland
2-year 4.8910 0.0250 +286bps +1bps
5-year 5.2370 0.0270 +319bps +2bps
10-year 5.6530 0.0510 +344bps +4bps
FORWARD
3x6 6x9 9x12 3M
interban
k
Czech Rep Hungary Poland Note: FRA quotes are
for ask prices
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(Reporting by Karol Badohal in Warsaw and Anita Komuves in
Budapest; Editing by Varun H K)