(Updates prices, adds details throughout)
By Summer Zhen and Jiaxing Li
HONG KONG/SHANGHAI, Nov 6 (Reuters) - China's yuan
weakened and stock markets on the mainland and Hong Kong fell on
Wednesday, as investors leaned toward the return of Donald Trump
as president even as preliminary counting in the U.S. election
still showed a tight presidential race.
U.S. stock futures jumped and the dollar rose across
the board, as some tallies pointed to Trump making gains over
Vice President Kamala Harris in battleground states.
China's blue-chip CSI300 Index fell 0.27% after
opening a tad higher, while Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng
was down 2.5%.
Hong Kong-listed China tech stocks declined
broadly in early trade, dragging down the Hang Seng. E-commerce
giant JD.com ( JD ) slumped more than 5% while Meituan ( MPNGF )
and Alibaba ( BABA ) were down nearly 4%,
respectively.
The U.S. presidential election will have a meaningful impact
on China's economy and capital markets. As part of his pitch to
boost American manufacturing, Trump has promised voters he will
impose tariffs of 60% or more on goods from China.
China's equity market is in the midst of recovering from a
years-long slump as authorities promise to address weak
consumption and a downturn in the real estate sector. The CSI
300 index is up more than 20% since Sept. 23, when Beijing
started rolling out rate cuts and stimulus.
But a Trump win could stymie that rally, with technology,
defence and export sectors in the crosshairs of his policies.
Since both Democrats and Republicans are relatively united
in antagonism to China, markets may not react dramatically until
there are concrete policy changes announced.
"Although both candidates are probably hawkish toward China,
Trump is still less predictable in terms of policy, so the
prospect of a Trump win could still drag sentiment a bit," said
Kenny Ng, strategist at China Everbright Securities
International in Hong Kong.
Onshore markets were, however, holding out for more stimulus
proposals and details from the Standing Committee of China's
National People's Congress (NPC), which meets through Nov. 4-8.
"Onshore investors are more focused on the NPC meeting this
week and are waiting to see if there will be more forceful
stimulus coming through, which will have a bigger impact on the
markets compared to the election," Ng said.
The offshore yuan fell more than 0.8% versus the
dollar, its weakest since mid-August. Its onshore counterpart
was also down more than 0.55%, and China's major
state-owned banks were selling dollars to prevent the yuan from
weakening too fast, sources told Reuters.
Trump's proposed tariff and tax policies are viewed as
inflationary and therefore likely to keep U.S. interest rates
high and undermine currencies of trading partners.
During Trump's first presidency, the yuan weakened about 5%
against the dollar during the initial round of U.S. tariffs on
Chinese goods in 2018, and fell another 1.5% a year later when
trade tensions escalated.