*
China holds benchmark lending rates steady, confounds
markets
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Analysts expect cuts soon as Fed's easing gives Beijing
leeway
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Raft of weak Chinese economic data raises urgency for
policy
action
(Adds details, policy and economic context, analysts' comments)
SHANGHAI, Sept 20 (Reuters) - China unexpectedly left
benchmark lending rates unchanged at the monthly fixing on
Friday, confounding market expectations that were primed for a
move after the Federal Reserve delivered an outsized interest
rate cut earlier this week.
However, market watchers widely believe further stimulus
will be rolled out to prop up an ailing economy, as the Fed's
easing offers Beijing leeway to loosen monetary policy without
unduly hurting the yuan.
The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) was kept
at 3.35%, while the five-year LPR was unchanged
at 3.85%.
In a Reuters survey of 39 market participants conducted this
week, 27, or 69%, of all respondents expected both rates to be
trimmed.
"The rate cut is likely to be included in a larger policy
package, which is being reviewed by senior officials," said Xing
Zhaopeng, senior China strategist at ANZ, referring to Chinese
policymakers.
"Current economic data and expectations all support a rate
cut. And, lowering existing mortgage loan rates also requires
further reductions in the 5-year LPR, which may lead to a
one-time and significant decline in the LPR in the fourth
quarter."
A string of August economic data, including credit lending
and activity indicators, surprised to the downside and raised
the urgency to roll out more stimulus measures to prop up the
world's second-biggest economy, market watchers said.
Analysts and policy advisers expect Chinese policymakers to
step up measures to at least help the economy meet the
increasingly challenging 2024 growth target.
Faltering Chinese economic activity has prompted global
brokerages to scale back their 2024 China growth forecasts to
below the government's official target of about 5%.
President Xi Jinping last week urged authorities to
strive to achieve the country's annual economic and social
development goals, state media reported, amid expectations that
more steps are needed to bolster a flagging economic recovery.
"There is a good chance that the People's Bank of China
(PBOC) will lower rates and banks to lower LPRs soon," analysts
at Commerzbank said in a note.
"Lacklustre growth calls for monetary policy easing, and the
Fed rate cuts provide room for PBOC to cut."
Monetary policy divergence with other major economies,
particularly the United States, and a weakening Chinese yuan
have been the key constraints limiting Beijing's efforts to
loosen policy over the past two years.
But the U.S. central bank's 50-basis-point cut on
Wednesday that kicked off an anticipated series of interest rate
cuts has unshackled some of China's policy levers, analysts say.
Most new and outstanding loans in China are based on the
one-year LPR, while the five-year rate influences the pricing of
mortgages.