*
China markets closed Oct. 1-7 for National Day holidays
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Sri Lanka to discuss shape of IMF deal in Washington
meetings
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CEE's manufacturing downturn continues but bright spots
appear
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Turkish manufacturing sector contracts further in Sept
By Ankika Biswas
Oct 1 (Reuters) - Emerging market stocks and currencies
started October on a sombre note, as Federal Reserve Chair
Jerome Powell's latest comments pared hopes of hefty U.S. rate
cuts, pruning investors' risk-on mood after a strong month for
the asset classes.
As Powell indicated only quarter-percentage-point rate
reductions and even added that there's no hurry to cut in light
of new encouraging economic data, CME's FedWatch Tool showed
market participants pulled back their bets of another oversized
50-basis-point rate cut in November.
"While the Fed did move aggressively in September, there is
no guarantee that it would have to cut by the same magnitude
again... Moreover, between now to the next meeting, the Fed has
to consider two sets of NFP (non-farm payrolls) prints and
arguably, sentiment around the U.S. Presidential elections,"
said DBS strategists.
With the dollar index firming against its major
peers, and with heavy-weight Chinese financial markets shut for
trading due to public holidays, the recent rally in EM assets
came to a halt.
The MSCI index for EM stocks edged 0.1% lower,
after logging its best month in 10 on the back of positive
developments in the world's largest economies -- China's series
of policy measures to lift its ailing economy and the Federal
Reserve's 50-bps cut in September.
The currencies index, too, slipped 0.4%
after notching its first three-month winning streak for the
first time this year.
Markets were also focused on a series of manufacturing
readings to gauge the economic health of some major EMs.
Czech manufacturing declined further in September and
Hungary's manufacturing activity contracted for a fourth
straight month, while Poland's manufacturing sector showed signs
of stabilisation, with the downturn easing for the third
consecutive month.
While the Czech crown edged 0.1% lower against the
euro to stay at its August lows, the Polish zloty
firmed 0.1% and the blue-chip index dropped 1% ahead of
its monetary policy decision on Wednesday.
Among others, Turkish factory activity contracted for the
sixth month in a row in September, with output, employment and
purchasing activity all declining.
The South African rand weakened 0.2% against the
dollar, ahead of its domestic manufacturing PMI data.
Meanwhile, Sri Lanka is set to have detailed talks with the
IMF on the framework of a $2.9 billion bailout programme on the
sidelines of the lender's annual meetings in Washington later
this month.
The country's benchmark index climbed 1% to its July
highs, with the rupee hitting its highest level since
June 2023 against the greenback.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Global investors call time on their exodus from China
** Jamaica cuts interest rate by 25 basis points
** Czech government majority set to shrink after minister
dismissed
** Saudi Arabia expects 2024 deficit to widen to 3% of GDP