* Brazil stocks on track for sharpest monthly drop in
three years
* Colombia heads to election over the weekend
* Mexico-US trade negotiations watched
* MSCI LatAm FX up 0.06%, stocks down 0.5%
(Updates with afternoon levels)
By Purvi Agarwal and Ragini Mathur
May 29 (Reuters) - Most Latin American assets eased on
Friday as investors locked eyes on a potential U.S.-Iran peace
deal, balancing cautious geopolitical optimism against a
backdrop of domestic losses led by Brazil.
MSCI's index tracking LatAm currencies was
flat, but it was poised for marginal monthly gains. In contrast,
the broader equities index was on track for its
sharpest monthly retreat since late 2024.
Investors remained on edge as they awaited a crucial
decision from U.S. President Donald Trump on a proposed deal
with Iran. The potential agreement, which would extend a
temporary ceasefire, hinges on reopening the strategic Strait of
Hormuz and dismantling Tehran's nuclear capabilities.
"Investors appear quite sanguine over the ongoing war
between the U.S. and Iran, convinced that it will soon be over,"
said David Morrison, senior market analyst at Trade Nation.
"The only question will be: has the war made the situation
better or worse for the world overall."
While the three-month-old conflict initially battered stocks
and sent both crude oil and the U.S. dollar soaring, mounting
hopes for a diplomatic breakthrough have helped global markets
climb back from their war-driven March lows.
POLITICAL AND FISCAL FEARS DRAG DOWN BRAZIL
On Friday, the Brazilian real was flat against the
U.S. dollar, but it was poised for its worst monthly performance
of the year. Domestic stocks also slipped 0.7% to cap
their steepest monthly plunge since February 2023.
Data showed that Brazil's economy rebounded in the first
quarter of 2026, buoyed by robust household consumption and
stronger capital investment.
However, a tight labor market and ongoing government
stimulus have complicated the central bank's outlook, clouding
the prospects for imminent interest rate cuts.
Brazilian assets were shaken this month by reports linking
right-wing challenger Flavio Bolsonaro to a disgraced banker - a
scandal that threatens his momentum against incumbent President
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who currently leads the polls.
Investors remain deeply concerned over Brazil's
deteriorating public finances under Lula, despite recent efforts
by his administration to curb spending.
MEXICO EYES TRADE TALKS, COLOMBIA RALLIES ON ELECTION POLLS
Mexico's peso and benchmark stock index fell
0.3% and 0.8%, respectively, as trade talks with Washington
began. The U.S. is demanding stricter rules of origin for
Mexican-built vehicles, prompting Mexico's central bank to trim
its growth forecast due to investment uncertainty.
Colombia was a rare bright spot, with stocks
pacing for their best week since mid-January, rising 1.6% on
Friday. Momentum shifted after a weekend poll showed right-wing
candidate Abelardo De La Espriella tied with leftist rival Iván
Cepeda ahead of the May 31 election.
"Investors have welcomed de la Espriella's recent momentum -
that's not surprising given the starkly different views on how
to address Colombia's fiscal challenges," said Kimberley
Sperrfechter, senior EM economist at Capital Economics.
Cepeda had vowed to continue current President Gustavo
Petro's policies, while De La Espriella proposed to offer
incentives for private investors and boost commodity sectors.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Stock indexes
Latest Daily % change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1751.26 1.54
MSCI LatAm 3034.23 -0.48
Brazil Bovespa 173851.02 -0.69
Mexico IPC 68311.33 -0.81
Chile IPSA 10918.82 0.19
Argentina MerVal 3163488.88 2.4
Colombia COLCAP 2217.27 1.59
Currencies Latest Daily % change
Brazil real 5.0419 -0.05
Mexico peso 17.3539 -0.27
Chile peso 889.46 0.19
Colombia peso 3702.02 -1.82
Peru sol 3.4023 0.08
Argentina peso 1,406.0 0.28
(interbank)
Argentina peso 1,410.0 1.4
(parallel)