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Trump's tariffs on Brazil exclude some imports
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Interest rate decision in Brazil awaited
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Mexico's economy grows 0.7% in second quarter
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US imposes 25% tariff on India
(Updates with afternoon levels)
By Ankita Yadav, Purvi Agarwal and Ragini Mathur
July 30 (Reuters) -
Brazilian assets recovered from early losses on Wednesday,
after U.S. President Donald Trump
slapped tariffs
on Latin America's largest economy but excluded a series of
items, in a relief for investors.
Other Latin American currencies were pressured by a jump
in the dollar after the U.S. Federal Reserve left
interest rates unchanged and Chair Jerome Powell issued a
cautious outlook on further monetary policy easing.
The Brazilian real, briefly touched near
two-month high, recovering from a 1% decline earlier in the
session, while stocks gained 1% and the benchmark
10-year bond was marginally higher following the
news on trade.
Brazilian exports to the U.S. now face a total of 50%
tariffs, but items such as orange juice, wood pulp, energy
products and civil aircraft and parts were excluded. Shares of
plane maker Embraer ( ERJ ) jumped 11.4% and wood pulp maker
Suzano rose nearly 1% after the news.
Trump's threats of steeper tariffs on the country
earlier this month tempered a rally in Brazilian assets.
However, analysts have pointed out that the United States enjoys
a trade surplus with Brazil, making the Latin American economy
relatively less exposed to tariff uncertainty.
"Any tariff adjustments or exemptions would be designed
to avoid penalizing products that the U.S. doesn't produce,"
said Rachel Ziemba, founder of Ziemba Insights.
"This would limit the economic hit to Brazil if these
exemptions were put in place. However, at the end of the day,
Brazil still is a fairly closed economy, it is ultimately likely
to be fairly resilient to tariffs."
Focus now will be on a local rate decision where the
Banco Central do Brasil is expected to hold its Selic rate at a
two-decade high of 15%.
"More important than keeping rates unchanged is the
guidance: having told markets that rates would be kept unchanged
for very prolonged period of time," said Dalton Gardimam, chief
economist at Ágora, Banco Bradesco's investment house.
Meanwhile, the Fed's decision pressured other currencies
such as Mexico's peso and Colombia's peso - down
0.6% and 1.1%, respectively.
Trump also announced a 50% tariff on some copper
products that sparked a
selloff
in U.S. futures of the red metal that had rallied in recent
weeks.
Currencies of copper producers in Latin America such as
Chile's peso and Peru's sol were down 1% and 0.5%,
respectively. The chairman of the world's biggest copper
producer, Chile's state-run Codelco, said it was positive that
cathodes were not subject
to U.S. tariffs.
Mexico's peso weakened 0.6%, while local stocks
dropped 1%. Data showed the economy grew 0.7% in the
second quarter, beating expectations.
Other equities in the region such as Argentina and
Colombia were flat to marginally lower.
Earlier, the U.S. announced a 25% tariff on Indian imports
starting on August 1 and also added an extra penalty and Trump
indicated initially it was for India buying Russian arms and oil
and its non-monetary trade barriers.
Before the announcement, India's rupee closed 0.7%
lower. The currency is among the few to have weakened against
the dollar this year, compared to other EM currencies that have
capitalised on the dollar's decline.
The U.S.-listed India ETF fell 1.5%, following the
announcement.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Latin American market prices
from Reuters
MSCI Emerging Markets 1249.06 -0.26
MSCI LatAm 2240.67 0.10
Brazil Bovespa 134077.15 1.02
Mexico IPC 57229.97 -1.02
Chile IPSA 8119.05 -0.03
Argentina Merval 2300086.48 -0.185
Colombia COLCAP 1748.81 -0.52
Brazil real 5.5823 -0.15
Mexico peso 18.8515 -0.56
Chile peso 980.63 -1
Colombia peso 4181.18 -1.15
Peru sol 3.5686 -0.52
Argentina peso (interbank) 1315 -1.78
Argentina peso (parallel) 1300 1.52