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Hungary's government slashes growth forecast
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U.S. JOLTS data awaited
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IMF to update its World Economic Outlook
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MSCI EM FX, stocks indexes off 0.3% each
By Purvi Agarwal and Ankita Yadav
July 29 (Reuters) - Most emerging market currencies fell
against a stronger dollar on Tuesday while stocks were mixed as
investors awaited a slate of upcoming economic data, while the
U.S. tariff deadline drew closer.
MSCI's gauge tracking emerging market currencies
fell 0.3% to its lowest level since late June,
in a third session of declines.
The dollar index rose 0.2%, hovering near its
five-week high, after surging 1% in the previous session.
Markets rewarded the greenback after the United States
clinched a key trade deal with the European Union days ahead of
the August 1 deadline, while talks with China continued.
Most currencies in Asia weakened against the dollar, and so
did South Africa's rand, which fell 0.4% and was on track
for its fourth session of losses. Turkey's lira was
little changed.
Currencies in emerging Europe weakened against the euro, as
optimism over trade deals faded, with investors concerned about
its implication for Europe.
The Hungarian forint was down 0.8% and set for its
steepest one-day decline since April 11. The government slashed
its 2025 growth forecast to 1%, down from 2.5%, prolonging a
recovery from a 2022 inflation surge.
Poland's zloty slipped 0.4%. Its prime minister
said that U.S. tariffs on European products could cost Poland
around 8 billion zlotys ($2.16 billion), per preliminary
estimates.
Russia's rouble fell 1.3% against the dollar,
over-the-counter market data showed, a day after Trump shortened
his deadline for Russia to end its war in Ukraine or face
tariffs.
Trump on Monday said that trading partners that do not
negotiate separate deals would soon face tariffs between 15% to
20%, well above the previously threatened 10%.
Emerging markets have found themselves in the crosshairs of
Trump's tariffs, with duties threatened on Brazil, Mexico, the
BRICS group of which Brazil and South Africa are members, and
many Asian countries.
"We will settle with just over 15% tariffs... while negative
from a macro point of view, the world can live with these levels
of tariffs," said Mohit Kumar, chief European economist at
Jefferies.
"Eventually, it boils down to the data and we could see
weakening in August data."
The impact of tariffs has started to show in U.S. inflation
data, and investors will scrutinize economic data scheduled
through the week for more such signs.
Regional stocks were broadly higher, with Poland
and Romania bouncing back 1% and 0.2% respectively,
while South African stocks were up 0.6%.
Still, MSCI's index tracking global EM stocks was
down 0.3%, with declines in some heavyweight Asian stocks
weighing.
Also due on the day is the International Monetary Fund's
outlook on the global economy.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Indonesia's FDI drops 6.95% y/y in Q2, biggest fall since
2020
** Bank of Korea board members saw more interest rate cuts
necessary, minutes show
** Turkey's gross reserves rebound amid tight monetary
policy
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