* MSCI EM FX up 0.3%, stocks add 1.6% to hit record high
* Israeli shekel at multi-decade highs, CDS around Oct
2023 levels
* Monetary policy decision due in Czech republic
By Purvi Agarwal
May 7 (Reuters) - Emerging market stocks and currencies
gained on Thursday on indications a peace deal between Iran and
the United States could be reached soon, while persistent
euphoria around artificial intelligence further added to market
gains.
Brent crude futures fell more than $3 to $98 a
barrel, a level below the $100-mark that is seen as critical for
the health of the global economy.
On Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump predicted a swift
end to the war as Tehran considered a U.S. peace proposal.
Markets heaved a sigh of relief on the signs of progress,
with MSCI's gauge tracking EM currencies up
0.3%, while the stocks gauge rose 1.6% to a record
high.
"The risk-on trade driven by Gulf de-escalation triggered
sizeable rallies in EM currencies... today, FX is showing signs
of stabilisation, but higher equities continue pointing to
optimism around further de-escalation," said Francesco Pesole,
FX strategist at ING.
"Volatility in FX should remain elevated as markets await
the final word on a US-Iran deal."
Most EM currencies strengthened against a slightly weaker
dollar. China's yuan appreciated to its highest level in more
than three years.
Turkey's lira was subdued against the dollar,
while South Africa's rand advanced 0.6%, tracking gains
in gold prices, a top export of the country.
Most currencies in emerging Europe were subdued against the
euro. Romania's leu traded flat after shedding over 3%
in the last five sessions.
A no-confidence vote toppled Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's
government, with policy deadlock expected ahead. That could
delay reforms needed to unlock funds from the European Union and
put the country's credit ratings at risk.
In the midst of mixed performance across emerging market
regions, Israeli assets have quietly outperformed. The shekel
was trading at its highest level against the dollar since
1993, while Israeli stocks have been trading at record
highs.
Israel's 5-year credit default swap fell to 63 basis points,
alevel last sustained before the October 2023 Hamas attacks.
Tech-heavy stock bourses in South Korea and Taiwan
continued to enjoy the AI boost, each closing over 1%
higher. Korea's Kospi breached 7,000 points for the first time
on Wednesday in an eye-popping rally.
Bourses in Europe, on the other hand, took a breather, with
stocksslipping0.8% in Poland and 0.3% in Hungary
. Romanian equities jumped 2.2%, driven by a 6.7%
jump in Premier Energy.
South African stocks gained 0.4%, while equities in
Turkey were up 0.1%.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Thai central bank chief revises GDP growth forecast up to
2.1% for this year
** Malaysia holds key rate steady, but warns of
uncertainties from Middle East conflict
** Indonesia targeting 2027 GDP growth in 5.9% to 7.5%
range, minister says
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