* Oil prices fall nearly 5%
* Frontier market bonds jump, Middle Eastern debt firms
* Taiwan's central bank seen holding rates steady through
2027
By Avinash P
June 15 (Reuters) - Emerging market assets rallied on Monday
as global risk appetite surged following a preliminary pact
between the U.S. and Iran to end their three-month conflict.
The agreement, confirmed by U.S. President Donald Trump on
Truth Social, will reopen the vital Strait of Hormuz, sending
oil prices down nearly 5% to three-month lows.
The reopening of the critical artery of energy supplies is
expected to ease the inflation fears that had recently forced
global central banks to tilt more hawkish.
"Financial markets have had opportunities to react to this kind
of deal on several occasions already," said analysts at ING.
"The bigger reaction could come at the short end of yield
curves, where central banks have had to clear up the
inflationary mess left by the energy spike in April and May."
MSCI's gauge tracking EM stocks gained 2.8%, while
the corresponding currencies index was up 0.3%.
Markets had rallied on Friday after signs of an imminent peace
deal were touted.
BOND MARKETS REBOUND
With inflation fears cooling, international bonds issued by
frontier markets rallied sharply, with many recovering to
pre-war levels.
Energy-dependent nations saw the largest gains. Sri Lanka's
2038 bond jumped over 2 cents to trade just above 99 cents on
the dollar, while Egypt's debt rose 1.8 cents. Kenya and
Pakistan both gained over a cent, while Middle Eastern debt also
ticked up.
In Asia, equity gains were led by heavyweights South Korea
and Taiwan, which advanced 5.2% and 2.8%,
respectively. Both bourses are among the best-performing markets
this year, boasting gains of more than 100% and 50% year to
date, respectively, fuelled by an eye-popping AI rally.
Taiwan's central bank is expected to hold its policy interest
rate steady this week and keep it in place into 2027, according
to economists polled by Reuters.
China's stock benchmarks rose 1.6% and 2.4%
respectively. Global ratings agency Fitch affirmed the nation's
'A' sovereign rating with a stable outlook.
The yuan touched its strongest level in over
three years. India's rupee appreciated 0.5%, while the
Indonesian rupiah and Sri Lankan rupee were up 1%
each.
South Africa's stocks jumped 3%, while the rand
strengthened 0.6%. Stronger gold prices also aided gains
as the country is among the major exporters of the yellow metal.
Turkey's benchmark advanced 2.7%. Industrial production
rose 3.7% month-on-month in April on a seasonally and
calendar-adjusted basis, official data showed.
Most emerging market currencies were flat to lower against
the euro. However, the Hungarian forint gained 0.6%
against the dollar taking its yearly gains to over 7.7% and
making it one of the best-performing currencies in 2026.
Stocks in Poland gained 0.8%, while Hungary
added 0.6%. Romanian stocks however, declined 0.6%.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** China bonds emerge as surprise haven as Iran war reshapes
portfolios
** EU envoys agree to first phase of membership talks for
Ukraine and Moldova
** What's happening with the contested ballots in Peru's
election?
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