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EM stocks down 0.14%, FX flat
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All eyes on Nvidia's ( NVDA ) earnings after Wednesday market close
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Hungary's central bank keeps base rate steady at 6.5%
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Russia carries out overnight attack on Ukraine, Kyiv bonds
mixed
By Nikhil Sharma
Nov 19 (Reuters) - Emerging market assets were subdued
on Wednesday as investors turned cautious ahead of Nvidia's ( NVDA )
quarterly earnings, which could shape the future of the
AI-driven market rally, while Hungary extended the pause on its
benchmark interest rate.
A broader gauge of emerging market stocks slipped
0.14%, after dropping about 1.9% in the previous session - its
worst day since April 7 - on mounting concerns over the
valuations of tech and AI-related stocks and the spending
pouring into the sector.
At the heart of the AI mania is Nvidia ( NVDA ), the world's
most valuable chipmaker, which faces a high bar for earnings
since even mild underperformance could trigger significant
volatility. The stock was up 0.4% in premarket trading ahead of
results scheduled for release after Wednesday's market close.
MSCI's index for EM currencies was flat
after modest losses in the previous session.
"Many investors see those earnings as a major test for the
AI trade that has been so popular. So definitely those earnings
will set the tone for the markets," said Piotr Matys, senior FX
analyst at In Touch Capital Markets.
In Central-Eastern Europe, Hungary's central bank left its
base rate steady at the European Union's joint-highest level of
6.5% on Tuesday, noting fiscal loosening and an uncertain
inflation outlook after next year's parliamentary election.
"The central bank commented on expansionary fiscal policy,
which is a major factor for the central bank to maintain tight
monetary policy. So essentially the overall message from the
central bank was hawkish," In Touch Capital Markets' Piotr
added.
Last week, the government raised its budget deficit targets
to 5% for this year and next to support higher pre-election
spending, which the bank said would make cutting the public
debt-to-GDP ratio harder.
The Hungarian forint, which fell last week after
the deficit target hike, was down 0.4% on Wednesday after two
straight days of gains. However, the currency has had a strong
run in 2025, advancing 6.7% year-to-date, supported by a higher
interest rate differential that has bolstered carry inflows.
Budapest stocks rose 0.33%, taking its year-to-date
gains to 34.1%. This stellar run has also been observed in
broader emerging markets, reflecting investors' shift to markets
that are seen as undervalued, and offer cheaper valuations and
higher yields.
The Czech koruna was flat, while Prague's main
stock index added 0.1% after steep losses in the previous
two sessions. The country's central bank on Tuesday acknowledged
that monetary conditions were slightly restrictive, providing
room to react to risks in either direction.
The Polish zloty slipped 0.16%, while Warsaw's
benchmark index added 0.1% after four days of declines.
The bank left rates unchanged for the fourth successive
meeting earlier this month, citing inflation risks from wage
growth and potential government spending with the arrival of a
new government led by protectionist prime minister hopeful
Andrej Babis.
Elsewhere, geopolitical tensions escalated after Ukraine
said 10 people were killed in a heavy overnight Russian missile
and drone attack that struck a residential tower block in the
western Ukrainian city of Ternopil.
Ukraine's international bonds were mixed. The country is
also in political turmoil over a corruption scandal, with one of
its main opposition parties physically blocking lawmakers in
parliament from voting to dismiss two ministers under
investigation.
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