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White House confirms Trump-Xi meeting next week
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Currencies unchanged, on track for slight weekly loss
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Turkish equities rally after court decision
By Niket Nishant
Oct 24 (Reuters) - Emerging market equities were on
track to register weekly gains on Friday, driven by hopes that
the U.S. would be able to ink a deal with China when Presidents
Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet next week.
A deal that resolves the standoff between the world's two
largest economies could lift sentiment towards emerging markets,
which are highly sensitive to global risk appetite.
MSCI's emerging markets equities index rose 0.5%,
set to end the week with a nearly 2% gain.
Analysts at BofA Securities acknowledged the lift from trade
hopes, but warned that some investors could use a deal
announcement as an opportunity to take profits.
CURRENCIES FLAT AS DOLLAR FIRMS
Regional currencies were unchanged and
poised to end the week with a slight loss, while the U.S. dollar
edged higher.
Still, fundamentals remain supportive, with many expecting
emerging markets FX to benefit as capital shifts away from the
dollar due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.
"Our currency strategists expect further dollar weakening.
U.S. economic performance is likely to be less exceptional in
coming quarters," Goldman Sachs analysts said in a note.
The next cues for FX direction will come from Friday's
release of the U.S. consumer price index, the first major data
dispatch following the ongoing federal government shutdown.
RUSSIA SANCTIONS FUEL JITTERS
Fresh sanctions on Russia from the U.S. and the EU continued
to ripple through European currency markets.
Poland's zloty weakened 0.1% against the euro,
while the Czech crown was flat after hitting its
lowest in more than a week.
Beyond sanctions, analysts also flagged growing risks from
fiscal strains and political uncertainty.
"Several nations are struggling with large fiscal deficits.
The market implications of potential fiscal slippage might vary
depending on the sustainability of debt dynamics, the dependence
on external funding and access to EU funds," UniCredit's
Investment Institute wrote in a note.
Political risk will also be in focus over the weekend as
Ivory Coast heads to the polls. President Alassane Ouattara is
seeking a fourth term even as critics say his government is
increasingly intolerant of dissent.
Turkey's main BIST 100 share index rose 3.9% and
touched its highest in three weeks after a court dismissed a
case seeking to oust the main opposition party's leader.
Its dollar bonds also gained, with the 2045 issue up over 1
cent to be bid at 91.49 cents on the dollar.
The case was seen as a test of Turkey's fragile balance
between democracy and autocracy.
RUSSIA RATE DECISION IN FOCUS, ASIA RALLIES
Elsewhere, the Bank of Russia is set to hold its key rate
meeting on Friday, with markets watching for signals on the
central bank's next move.
In Asia, Jakarta's benchmark stock index and South
Korea's Kospi hit all-time peaks. The Shanghai Composite
Index also closed at a 10-year high after Beijing vowed
to focus on technological self-sufficiency.
"China's drive for greater self-sufficiency has been central
in its shift toward higher value-added manufacturing and
exports," said Louise Loo, head of Asia Economics at Oxford
Economics.
"Recent policy signals appear to be aimed at improving
efficiency and technological self-reliance, which should further
consolidate China's competitiveness in high-value
manufacturing."