(Updated at 1520 GMT)
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Bets rise on 50 bps Fed cut in September
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Global stocks selloff amid growth worries, tech rout
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Brazil industrial data stronger than expected
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EM bond funds see outflows over past week: BofA
By Lisa Pauline Mattackal
Aug 2 (Reuters) - An index tracking global emerging
market currencies leaped against a falling dollar after
weaker-than-expected U.S. payrolls stoked hopes for a dovish
turn from the Federal Reserve, though EM equities and Latin
American currencies slumped as growth worries weighed.
MSCI's index of EM currencies leapt 0.3% to
its highest since May as the U.S. dollar fell after weak
payrolls data stoked hopes for a larger rate cut in September.
Expectations for the Fed to cut by 50 basis points (bps),
instead of 25 bps jumped from 22% to over 73% following the
data, according to the CME's FedWatch.
However, that was not enough to stem a global selloff in
equities as growth worries sent investors rushing for safe haven
assets. MSCI's index of emerging market stocks slumped
2.3%, set to clock its worst day since February 2023 if losses
hold.
Markets in Latin America also tumbled, with indexes of
regional currencies and stocks
down 1.7% and 2.9%, respectively, both at their lowest levels
since last October.
"What makes this a bad situation for Latin America is the
fact that the U.S. becoming a softer economy directly impacts
the general health of the hemisphere," said Juan Perez, director
of trading at Monex USA.
"Combined with China already not being an engine of growth,
it leaves Latam to its own domestic struggles which are only
exacerbated by a fragile political situation."
Mexico's peso slumped 1.1%, touching its lowest to
the greenback since March 2023 as a higher-than-expected jobless
rate print also weighed.
Bourses in Latin America slumped, with stocks in Argentina
, Brazil, Colombia and Mexico
down between 0.8% and 3.2%.
Stocks of the region's commodity-focused companies slumped,
with Brazil's Petrobras, Vale SA ( VALE ) and
Colombia's Ecopetrol falling to multi-month lows.
The moves capped a hectic week for emerging market assets.
An initial boost to risk sentiment following the Federal
Reserve's meeting on Wednesday quickly gave way to concerns over
global growth, after weak U.S. data, geopolitical worries in the
Middle East and further signs of economic slowdown in China.
MSCI's EM stock index was on track to fall for a third
straight week, however, the currency index was set to rise about
0.7% in its best week since December.
However, Latin American assets were set to underperform,
with the stocks index on track to fall over 3% and currencies
down 1.8%.
Brazil's real briefly slumped to its lowest since
2021 against the greenback, before reversing course to rise
0.1%.
Brazil industrial data came in strongly above expectations,
its best monthly growth since July 2020, data showed.
EM debt-focused funds saw outflows of $0.2 billion over the
past week, according to data from Bank of America Global
Research, though EM equity funds have seen about $4.5 billion in
inflows over the past nine weeks.
HIGHLIGHTS
** US, European lawmakers jointly condemn Venezuela's
handling of election
** Ethiopia will save $4.9 bln from debt restructuring,
state minister says
** Chilean court rejects Tianqi's request to pause
SQM-Codelco deal
** Nigerian police may seek army help after violent protests
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies
Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging 1063.03 -2.28
Markets
MSCI LatAm 2119.96 -2.97
Brazil Bovespa 126298.4 -0.86
7
Mexico IPC 52003.61 -0.79
Chile IPSA 6302.69 -1.8
Argentina 1453020. -3.146
MerVal 70
Colombia 1320.14 -1.61
COLCAP
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 5.7486 -0.26
Mexico peso 19.0421 -1.04
Chile peso 950.5 0.13
Colombia peso 4106.38 -0.57
Peru sol 3.7473 -0.41
Argentina peso 932.5000 -0.05
(interbank)
Argentina peso 1365 1.10
(parallel)