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Trump-Putin talks begin in Alaska
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Peru's central bank holds key interest rate at 4.5%
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Colombia inflation undershoots estimates
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MSCI Latam FX, stocks set for second week of gains
(Updates with afternoon levels)
By Pranav Kashyap, Sukriti Gupta and Purvi Agarwal
Aug 15 (Reuters) - Most emerging market currencies were
subdued on Friday as investors anticipated the outcome of
high-stakes ongoing U.S.-Russia talks, while those in Latin
America strengthened on prospects of lower U.S. interest rates.
U.S. President Donald Trump and his Russian counterpart
Vladimir Putin begun the key meeting in Alaska, where Trump
seeks a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine.
Trump said he would not negotiate on behalf of Ukraine and
would let Kyiv decide whether to engage in territorial swaps
with Russia, assuaging European concerns that he would sell out
Ukraine by recognizing Russian control over territories.
Ukraine's dollar bonds have rallied since the announcement
of the meeting, as progress on ending the over three-year-long
war seemed promising. However, they have had a volatile week
leading up to the meeting, broadly gaining 0.7 cents on the
dollar on Friday.
Russia's rouble slipped 0.5% to a more than one-week
low against the dollar, over-the-counter market data showed.
"Unless there is a dramatic result like a break in the
discussions, which I do not assign a high probability to
materialize, markets are going to take it okay," said Alfredo
Coutino, director for Latin America at Moody's Analytics.
"If there is a willingness to continue the dialogue and to
continue negotiating, markets are going to stay relatively
calm."
In Latin America, most currencies edged up against the
dollar, as markets priced in a 25-basis-point cut from
the Federal Reserve in September.
Hopes of a jumbo 50-bps cut were nipped in the bud after
mixed economic data this week, the latest being an in-line
reading of retail sales.
"Markets are trading based on economic data and sentiment
towards what the Fed is going to be doing rather than the summit
... If it weren't a summer Friday, markets would be a little
more volatile," said Brendan McKenna, economist at Wells Fargo.
On the day, Colombia's peso hit nearly a one-month
high and was poised for its biggest daily jump in two weeks.
Data showed Colombia's economy grew 2.1% year-on-year in the
second quarter, below market expectations.
Other Latam currencies gained between 0.1% and 0.3%.
Brazil's real was on track for a fourth week of gains.
MSCI's Latin American currency gauge gave up
early gains and was last flat, while a similar gauge for stocks
rose 0.6%. Both indexes were set for a second
consecutive week of gains.
Colombian stocks rose 0.3%, in their eighth
straight session of gains, their longest streak since last
August.
Peruvian stocks rose 0.4%, while the sol
currency was slightly higher in thin trading after the
country's central bank held its key interest rate at 4.50% for
the third successive time.
Argentina's markets were closed for a local holiday.
Voters in Bolivia will go to the polls on Sunday to elect a
new president, vice president and all members of the country's
legislature. Investors hope that a political U-turn could help
shore up Bolivia's fragile economy and pave the way for an IMF
program.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
MSCI Emerging Markets 1271.12 -0.07
MSCI LatAm 2339.23 0.60
Brazil Bovespa 136352.71 0
Mexico IPC 58370.61 0.35
Chile IPSA 8739.42 0.02
Argentina Merval 2188542.39 -4.33
Colombia COLCAP 1856.83 0.61
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 5.397 0.34
Mexico peso 18.7355 0.28
Chile peso 962.08 0.3
Colombia peso 4015.5 1.06
Peru sol 3.5575 0.14
Argentina peso (interbank) 1298 -1.77
Argentina peso (parallel) 1300 -0.38