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EM stocks up 1.35%, FX up 0.16%
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S&P affirms Poland's outlook at 'stable'
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US exempts Hungary from Russia sanctions after Trump-Orban
meet
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Hungary secures financial shield agreement with
WashingtonCzech
jobless rate edges slightly up in October
By Nikhil Sharma
Nov 10 (Reuters) - Emerging Market stocks rallied on
Monday, mirroring global equities, on optimism that the
prolonged U.S. government shutdown may soon end, ahead of key
inflation data releases across the region throughout the week.
MSCI's index for Emerging Market equities climbed
1.35%, kicking off the week on a stronger note after
considerable losses in the previous week.
Global sentiment improved after the U.S. Senate on Sunday
advanced a measure aimed at reopening the federal government and
funding it through January, ending a shutdown that has sidelined
federal workers, delayed food aid and snarled air travel.
"There are still more hoops to jump through before the 1.4
million federal workers get their jobs back, but this first step
towards ending the shutdown has received a warm reception from
financial markets," Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB,
said in a note.
Equities in Asia surged, while futures tracking Wall
Street's main stock indexes moved sharply higher to indicate
bigger moves at open.
A broader gauge tracking EM currencies rose
0.16% after declining about 0.4% in the previous week. A softer
dollar on the possible end to the shutdown helped boost
currencies elsewhere.
In Poland, the currency zloty was largely steady,
while Warsaw's benchmark index jumped 1.55% to an
all-time high.
The moves came after ratings agency S&P affirmed Poland's
outlook at "stable" on Friday, noting strong medium-term growth
prospects even as debt risks rise. In contrast, Fitch and
Moody's have revised Poland's outlook to "negative".
Investors will look ahead to the week's key data, including
October inflation numbers and third-quarter GDP figures, to
evaluate the health of the economy amid fiscal uncertainties.
A slowdown in inflation and an improvement in its outlook
had prompted the National Bank of Poland last week to extend its
policy easing cycle by slashing rates by another 25 basis points
to 4.25%.
The Hungarian forint rose 0.46% to a fresh
1-1/2-year high as investors welcomed Washington's temporary
exemption for Hungary from U.S. sanctions on the use of Russian
oil and gas, marking a win for Prime Minister Viktor Orban after
his friendly meeting with President Donald Trump.
Budapest stocks jumped 1% to a record high on Monday.
Orban termed the agreement a "financial shield" and has
committed to buying U.S. liquefied natural gas with contracts
valued at some $600 million.
On the data front, investors will assess Hungary's inflation
figures on Tuesday, a potentially decisive gauge of the central
bank's policy decision next week.
In the Czech Republic, the October CPI data will also be in
focus on Tuesday, given that the central bank has flagged upside
price risks from wage growth and potential government spending,
which forced it to keep interest rates on hold last week.
The Czech koruna was down 0.1%, while Prague's
main stock index rose 0.63% to hit an all-time high. Fresh
data showed the unemployment rate rose more than expected to
4.6% last month.
Elsewhere in EM, S&P Global revised Israel's outlook to
"stable" from "negative" on Friday, citing reduced probability
of security risks after an October ceasefire agreement with
Hamas.
Additionally, the ratings agency also raised Ghana's rating
to "B-/B" from "CCC+/C", crediting the country's strengthening
balance of payments and fiscal positions. Ghana's dollar bonds
edged up on Monday.
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