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Brazil says China to invest $4.78 billion as Lula visits Beijing
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Economists say Brazil's monetary tightening cycle is over
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Chile central bank seen holding rate at 5% next meeting, poll shows
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Indian, Pakistani assets soar after ceasefire
(Updates to mid-session trading)
By Nikhil Sharma, Johann M Cherian and Purvi Agarwal
May 12 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies slid against a stronger dollar on
Monday, after the United States and China reached a deal to temporarily trim their steep tariffs
on each other, while equities gained on surging commodity prices.
Following weekend talks in Geneva, the U.S. agreed to cut extra tariffs on Chinese imports
to 30% from 145%, while China would cut duties on U.S. imports to 10% from 125%. The new
measures are effective for 90 days.
The deal comes as a relief for global investors who have been on the edge ever since U.S.
President Donald Trump announced his sweeping levies on key trading partners, creating an
environment of high volatility and uncertainty.
The dollar index hit its highest since April 10, weighing on EM currencies. MSCI's
index of Latin American currencies was down 0.6%, set for its first loss in five
sessions.
"The U.S. is re-engaging with the world now through a kinder, gentler economic diplomacy
than it did before ... and yet, its view as a 'full faith and credit' counter-party won't return
soon," said Thierry Wizman, global FX & rates strategist at Macquarie.
"It will limit the dollar's gains, before it weakens again."
Chile's peso dipped 1.2%, the most among peers. A survey showed analysts expect the
central bank to leave benchmark interest rates unchanged in June.
Mexico's peso depreciated 0.7% after data showed industrial output fell 0.9% in March
from February, despite the government's expectations for this year.
The country's central bank is expected to cut its benchmark interest rate later this week.
Brazil's real weakened 0.5%. Focus was on President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's state
visit to Beijing, with Brazil announcing around 27 billion reais ($4.78 billion) of Chinese
investment into the country.
Vice President Geraldo Alckmin said he expects interest rates to fall sharply, pointing to a
stronger currency, and also echoing a survey of economists.
The trade deal between China and the U.S. boosted prices of base metals, uplifting
currencies in commodity exporter-heavy economies.
Colombia's peso was the only one higher against the dollar, as oil prices settled at
two-week highs.
Top energy companies in the region including Brazil's Petrobras jumped 3.3%.
Argentina's YPF gained 7.2% and Colombia's Ecopetrol climbed 1.2%.
Stock indexes in Argentina and Colombia were up 4.5% and 0.1%
respectively, while Brazil's Bovespa index was up 0.2%.
Miners including Brazil's Vale gained 2.7%, Mexico's Grupo Mexico SAB de CV
advanced 2.7% and U.S.-listed shares of SQM rose 3.6%, tracking higher
industrial metal prices.
The main stock index in Chile, the world's biggest copper producer, was up 1%.
Mexican stocks were up 0.3%.
"Sentiment with this new announcement is improving and that also implies that Latam markets
will be in a better shape or will be under less stress with these announcements of a pause of
tariffs towards China," said Andres Abadia, chief Latam economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.
Stocks in the region have outperformed the broader MSCI EM stocks index so far
this year, as Latin American economies are among the countries with the smallest of Washington's
duties, and worries of a tariff-driven recession drove them to bargain-hunt outside the U.S.
China is also expected to host officials from other Latin American and Caribbean economies,
including Colombia and Chile.
Elsewhere, India's benchmarks and registered their biggest one-day rise in
more than four years, while Pakistani dollar bonds advanced and the local bourse saw its
steepest one-day jump since 1998 after the two nuclear powers agreed to a ceasefire over the
weekend.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies around 1920 GMT
Latin American market
prices from Reuters
Equities Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1160.51 1.94
MSCI LatAm 2222.41 -0.17
Brazil Bovespa 136786.05 0.2
Mexico IPC 56718.87 0.3
Chile IPSA 8311.9 0.96
Argentina Merval 2209166.7 4.483
6
Colombia COLCAP 1646.29 0.05
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 5.6825 -0.5
Mexico peso 19.5696 -0.7
Chile peso 946.03 -1.15
Colombia peso 4219.5 0.05
Peru sol 3.658 -0.16
Argentina peso (interbank) 1129 0.4428697
96
Argentina peso (parallel) 1150 2.1739130
43