*
Japan, Indonesia, Thailand expected to hold rates
*
Rupiah falls for fifth straight session
*
Philippine stocks at lowest since early August
(Updates at 0710 GMT)
By Rajasik Mukherjee and Roushni Nair
Dec 17 (Reuters) -
Asian equities fell and the Indonesian rupiah and the Thai
baht led losses among currencies on Tuesday, as caution
prevailed ahead of key central bank decisions this week,
including a widely expected interest rate cut from the U.S.
Federal Reserve.
Shares in Manila fell for the fifth consecutive
session, falling 2.3% to their lowest since early August.
Equities in Jakarta and Shanghai declined by
0.9% and 0.7%, respectively. In currencies both the Thai baht
and the Indonesian rupiah declined 0.4%.
The rupiah has fallen beyond the psychologically important
threshold of 16,000 per U.S. dollar, which may impact Bank
Indonesia's (BI) monetary policy decision on Dec. 18, when
interest rates are expected to remain unchanged.
The rupiah logged its fifth straight session of decline and
has fallen more than 6% from its September peak despite central
bank intervention last week.
The dollar index held firm on Tuesday near recent
peaks, on the eve of an expected 25 basis point interest rate
cut in the United States, as traders ratchet long-term rate
assumptions higher.
OCBC currency strategist Christopher Wong said if the Fed
hints at two or fewer cuts in 2025, markets would read it as
"hawkish" and thus strengthen the greenback. However, if the Fed
sees three cuts next year, it would ease some pressure off
emerging market currencies.
On Dec. 19, the Bank of Japan is expected to hold current
interest rates, shifting from earlier market expectations of a
rate hike before year-end.
The Japanese yen ended its six-day decline with a
modest gain.
Central banks in Thailand and the Philippines are also
scheduled to announce their monetary policy decisions this week.
Bank of Thailand is widely expected to keep its rates steady
on Dec. 18, while the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas is set to cut
rates for a third consecutive time on Thursday, with further
cuts expected in 2025.
The peso gained as much as 0.2%.
Investors also assessed the mixed Chinese economic data
released on Monday as China's retail sales grew at its slowest
pace in three months, underwhelming the market and highlighting
the need for more stimulus ahead of potential U.S. trade
tariffs.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** US bond investors brace for 'hawkish cut,' spurn
long-term bonds
** China plans record budget deficit of 4% of GDP in 2025,
say sources
** Pakistan central bank cuts key rate by 200 bps, fifth in
a row
Asian stocks and currencies at 0710 GMT
Japan +0.09 -8.41 -0.24 17.63
China >
India -0.07 -2.02 Indonesia -0.40 -4.14 Malaysia -0.04 +3.10 Philippines -0.03 -5.88 -1.72 0.80
S.Korea 5 >
Singapore +0.01 -2.27 -0.54 17.29
Taiwan -0.08 -5.47 Thailand -0.41 -0.06